Analysis

Trabajadores del Estado y simpatizantes orteguistas participan en una actividad del caudillo sandinista Daniel Ortega

El vacío de poder y el secuestro de los servidores públicos

Desde inicios de 2020, Nicaragua se ha estancado ante un vacío de poder que se ha agravado por la crisis de la pandemia, acompañado de un empate político prolongado entre el régimen y los actores del movimiento opositor de la Coalición Nacional.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial

Marcelo Ebrard

Amid Covid-19, China Ups Its Game in Latin America

China has become an essential, reliable partner for Latin American nations, while the United States, under the Trump Adminstration, has alienated itself away from longtime regional partners.

Rebecca Bill Chavez, Paul Angelo

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ New York Times

Nicolás Maduro

It’s Not the Time for War Games With Venezuela

The priority of the US in the country should be to avoid a humanitarian disaster, not sending naval destroyers.

Michael Shifter, Michael Camilleri

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ The New York Times

Portrait of Nicolás Maduro

Can Justice for Maduro Bring Peace to Venezuela?

On Tuesday, Secretary of State Michael R. Pompeo unveiled a detailed framework for restoring democracy in Venezuela that was immediately rejected by the man who would need to step aside for such a transition to occur: Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro.

Michael Camilleri

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Los Angeles Times

Power lines in wetlands

Countering China through Infrastructure Investments

The US has introduced several measures to facilitate energy & infrastructure investment in Latin America. However, the impact will likely be constrained by the challenging investment environment in many Latin American countries, demonstrating the limitations for the US in competing with China’s centralized economic model.

Lisa Viscidi, Sarah Phillips

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Global Americans

Un hombre aborda un bus en Managua en medio de la epidemia del coronavirus

El impacto de la pandemia sobre las remesas en Nicaragua y América Latina

La pandemia causada por el Covid-19 está creando estragos y consecuencias económicas en todo el mundo. En 2020, se proyecta caída de -5 por ciento de las remesas en Nicaragua, recibiendo $75 millones menos, con una caída mayor del turismo, la economía caerá en -2 por ciento.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial

Black and white globe

Migrants and the Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Remittances

This analysis offers a glimpse of the potential impact of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on US immigrants and family remittances. Past events involving worldwide crises can offer insight as to how this pandemic will likely affect remittance transfers. Considering migrants’ financial and health vulnerabilities as well as the forecast recession, a conservative estimate shows that remittances will register a -3 percent decline in 2020 relative to 2019, from $77 billion to $75 billion.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Download Analysis

Inauguration of Luis Almagro as OAS Secretary General

Elecciones en la OEA: ¿Almagro vs Espinosa o vs Maduro?

En un contexto de fragmentación regional como el actual, donde cada país está concentrado en sus propios desafíos domésticos, la OEA es una institución que cumple importantes funciones y cuenta con un personal dedicado, pero que persiste como poco más que una cáscara vacía. La elección del viernes no va a cambiar esa realidad.

Bruno Binetti

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Agenda Pública

PDVSA gas station in Venezuela

Can Venezuela’s Oil Industry Ever Recover?

Once a major OPEC producer, Venezuela has witnessed a spectacular fall in oil production over the last 20 years under Hugo Chávez and Nicolás Maduro. In 2019, U.S. sanctions hastened this decline. Will Venezuela ever reclaim its place as a top oil producer?

Lisa Viscidi, Nate Graham

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Houston Chronicle

Manuel Orozco being interviewed by VOA Video

Increased Tensions in Latin America

Manuel Orozco was interviewed on February 14, 2020 by Gonzalo Abarca from VOA Noticias: Foro Interamericano to discuss the H2A visas for Guatamalans, Nayib Bukele’s display of military force and Juan Guaidó’s international tour.

Manuel Orozco, Gonzalo Abarca

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ VOA Noticias Foro Interamericano