Analysis

Argentina’s Recurring Nightmare

Each subsequent crisis makes it more difficult for the government to reform the economy without provoking a major social disruption. To escape its never-ending cycle of crises, however, the next president will have to do more than reform the economy; he will have to win back the trust of voters who have grown to expect the worst from their leaders.

Bruno Binetti

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Foreign Affairs

From the Remittance Industry Observatory: Nigeria Country Profile and Libra

The September 2019 Newsletter of the Remittance Industry Observatory looks at Nigeria, a country with a complex history of migration and some of the largest remittance flows in Africa and presents a summary of a recent Congressional Hearing on Facebook’s proposed mobile wallet, Calibra.

Manuel Orozco, Laura Porras, Julia Yansura

Articles & Op-Eds ˙

How Evo Morales running again — and again — undermines Bolivia’s democracy

On Oct. 20, Bolivian President Evo Morales will go to the polls in search of a fourth term. Victory would extend his time in office to almost two decades, and — depending on how the election goes — could place democracy itself at risk in the Andean country.

Ben Raderstorf, Michael Camilleri

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ The Washington Post

¿Hacia dónde lleva Ortega a Nicaragua?

La apuesta de Ortega para ganar se basa en su creencia de que tiene una ventaja en este momento siempre y cuando actúe en seis frentes: la represión política y económica, el acomodamiento económico del sector privado, la división y censura de la oposición, una comunidad internacional poco activa, y la protección a su círculo de poder.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial

Do the Amazon Fires Point the Way for Future International Efforts to Combat Climate Change?

The fires in the Amazon expose the very heart of the greatest collective action problem that humanity has faced, and it foreshadows harder battles to come. The actions of each individual country have consequences for the global climate, yet perpetrators are loath to make sacrifices when others, especially those with equal or greater responsibility, are not doing the same. The fact that threats of economic punishment seem to have shifted Brazil’s behavior suggests that a similar approach could be taken to address climate change on a larger scale. But it will not be easy, especially where the biggest emitters are concerned.

Lisa Viscidi, Nate Graham

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Foreign Policy

Plan B in Venezuela

The United States must now reassess its approach. Washington shouldn’t give up its sustained focus on the crisis or its stated objective of restoring democracy and constitutional order, but it does have to accept the facts on the ground and recognize that maximalist demands are unhelpful.

Michael Camilleri

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Foreign Affairs

Geopolítica de la crisis venezolana

Ante el bloqueo doméstico y externo de la crisis en Venezuela, Europa podría desempeñar un papel crucial gracias a su relativa distancia del conflicto y buena imagen en la región.

Bruno Binetti

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Política Exterior

Jair Bolsonaro, A View from the North

Rather than building a robust partnership with the United States, Bolsonaro’s current trajectory may end up with Brazil facing a largely indifferent Washington. Yes, Trump did declare this week that he wants a free trade deal with Brazil, but even if Brazil can find a way around Mercosur’s rules and begin to pursue a bilateral accord, negotiations will take several years to complete. A successful outcome is not out of the question, but it will require to thoroughly overhaul its highly protected economy, which is among the most insular in the world.

Peter Hakim

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Veja

Are China and Panama Getting It Right?

Best outcomes for Panama, whether in its relations with China or other economic partners, will depend on the country’s commitment to open and equitable procurement processes and effective project monitoring and evaluation.

Margaret Myers

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Latin Trade

How to Save the Amazon Rainforest

Countries in the Amazon Basin are falling behind on their targets to cut deforestation. Environmental enforcement combined with economic incentives could provide a way forward, write Lisa Viscidi and Enrique Ortiz in this op-ed.

Lisa Viscidi, Enrique Ortiz

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ The New York Times

China’s Agro-Industrial Interests in Latin America

The China-Latin America agro-industrial relationship has been growing, and at a notable pace, prompted in large part by China’s evolving food security strategy

Margaret Myers

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Agri-Pulse