Analysis

Five Ways Spain Can Lead on Venezuela

Over the past two weeks, Spain has become an accidental protagonist in the diplomatic efforts to end Venezuela’s crises.  The good news is that Spain is well-positioned to lead the effort to restore democracy in Venezuela. The bad news is that the Spanish government is deeply conflicted about what to do. But there are five clear ways that Spain can demonstrate that the democratic cause in Venezuela is not just a guise for U.S. adventurism. 

Irene Estefanía, Ben Raderstorf

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Americas Quarterly

Trump’s Cuba Sanctions Are a Mistake

President Donald Trump’s decision last month to increase sanctions on Cuba represents a strategic error with serious long-term repercussions for U.S. national security.

Rebecca Bill Chavez

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Foreign Policy

Decisive Moment for Venezuela’s Military

Venezuela may be slowly moving into a scenario in which the military moves to take full control, without Maduro, but not necessarily in accordance with Guaidó’s (and the constitution’s) terms and timetable for a transition.

Michael Shifter

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ La Tercera

Juan Guaidó’s Uprising Failed. What’s Next for Venezuela?

Venezuela’s stalemate will not last forever, but an immediate and easy return to democracy is highly unlikely. The quicker the opposition and its international supporters adapt their strategies to this hard reality, the sooner the country can begin to find a way out of this unprecedented crisis.

Michael Shifter, Bruno Binetti

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ New York Times

El control sobre las remesas familiares en Nicaragua

Hay una razón muy simple de parte del Gobierno de aumentar controles sobre las transacciones, su lógica es política y económica como mecanismo de sobrevivencia.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial

Is Cuba Hoping to Emulate China With Its New Constitution?

Far from a fundamental rethinking of the political framework, Cuba’s new constitution is a cautious attempt at salvaging a dysfunctional system.

Ricardo Barrios, Luis Carlos Battista

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ World Politics Review

Blackouts in Venezuela: Why the Power System Failed and How to Fix It

A lack of transmission-line maintenance may have been the immediate trigger for the power outage that left much of Venezuela in darkness on March 7, but it is a symptom of almost two decades of government mismanagement that has debilitated Venezuela’s power sector, draining its reserves of both human and financial capital and nudging it towards collapse.

Lisa Viscidi, Nate Graham

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Real Instituto Elcano

La salida negociada será dolorosa

Un año después del 18 de abril, Nicaragua se ha constituido en uno de los países más peligrosos del mundo, en donde el ejercicio de la violencia y la coerción institucional han prevalecido sobre el consenso y la democracia.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial

Ecuador Migration Trends

Intra-regional migration in the Americas has increased since the 1990s and doubled between 2000 and 2017.[1] Ecuador’s transformation in the last ten years from a traditionally migrant sending to a migrant host and transit nation further illustrates this growing pattern of intra-regional migration.

Nicole Ledesma

Articles & Op-Eds ˙

从2018年趋势看中资银行在拉美地区的关键角色

近期的进展显示,中国的政策性银行、商业银行以及其他金融平台仍将维持中国在拉美地区的角色,并将向更加广泛的项目类型拓宽。

Margaret Myers, Ricardo Barrios

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ 财新网

Asimetría y desequilibrio político en la negociación nicaragüense

Las negociaciones que se iniciaron con una agenda limitada a cuatro puntos sustantivos (liberación de presos, libertades civiles y políticas, reforma electoral y justicia) y uno técnico de implementación, representan predominantemente el intento de llegar a un acuerdo para neutralizar la violencia estatal y el conflicto político que estalló en abril 2018 en Nicaragua.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial

Economic Growth and Family Remittances to Central America in 2018

Central American economies continue to struggle with achieving higher rates of economic growth, of above 4%. The sluggish growth continues to limit the ability of these countries to achieve economic development and prevent emigration in the long term. Of particular relevance is the fact that these economies are highly dependent on a small number of economic activities, and remittances are a central, if not the most important, source of income.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Latin News