Analysis

Foto de un globo que muestra las Américas

La migración y la democracia: exclusión y expulsión

La exclusión y la expulsión son los resultados de estructuras estatales dañadas, afectadas por muchos países en condiciones estatales fallidas, así como la ausencia de consenso o polarización social y política sobre el tipo de sujeto político que conforma la sociedad moderna.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial

President Trump Visits with the Interim President of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela to the White House

Venezuela’s Crisis: Guaidó and the bet on realism

A year ago, the emergence of Guaidó brought some hope to Venezuela. He, and many others, then believed that international and national pressure would make the military turn from Maduro to Guaido, resulting in the regime’s fall. They were mistaken. They were guilty of a lack of realism. Today is a time for realism. It is also a time to be creative, open to new possibilities that have a chance, however remote, of ending the nightmare in our hemisphere.

Michael Shifter

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Clarín

中国企业的社会责任:聚焦拉美

未来几年,中国企业在履行社会责任方面的进展尤其重要,这不仅关系到当地人民的福祉和企业的声誉,也关系到国家主席习近平的标志性外交倡议“一带一路”的推进。

Margaret Myers

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ 财新网

Turmoil in South America and the Impact on Energy Markets

2019 has been a tumultuous year for South America. In recent months, mass protests have swept across several countries, including major oil and gas producers Bolivia, Ecuador, Peru, and Colombia. Continued political and social turbulence will likely contribute to stagnant oil and gas production growth in these countries. Conversely, Brazil and Guyana are on track to become the region’s largest sources of supply growth.

Lisa Viscidi

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Istituto Affari Internazionali

Latin America and 5G: Five Things to Know

A wide variety of factors—domestic and external—will shape 5G deployment in the Latin American region over the next few years.

Margaret Myers, Guillermo García Montenegro

Articles & Op-Eds ˙

Defender la dignidad y derrotar la transgresión

Las acciones recientes del gobierno de Daniel Ortega incitando la violencia, permitiendo la humillación y la tortura policial, fomentando que otros hagan lo mismo, representan la continuidad de la autoridad política por la vía de la transgresión.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial

Which Fernández Will Be Left Standing in Argentina?

In a country used to having strong leaders, Alberto Fernández’s dependency on his still-popular but polarizing vice president could weaken him politically. Sooner or later, this contradiction will need to be resolved, and one of the two Fernandezes will be left standing.

Bruno Binetti

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ World Politics Review

Argentina’s Recurring Nightmare

Each subsequent crisis makes it more difficult for the government to reform the economy without provoking a major social disruption. To escape its never-ending cycle of crises, however, the next president will have to do more than reform the economy; he will have to win back the trust of voters who have grown to expect the worst from their leaders.

Bruno Binetti

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Foreign Affairs

From the Remittance Industry Observatory: Nigeria Country Profile and Libra

The September 2019 Newsletter of the Remittance Industry Observatory looks at Nigeria, a country with a complex history of migration and some of the largest remittance flows in Africa and presents a summary of a recent Congressional Hearing on Facebook’s proposed mobile wallet, Calibra.

Manuel Orozco, Laura Porras, Julia Yansura

Articles & Op-Eds ˙

How Evo Morales running again — and again — undermines Bolivia’s democracy

On Oct. 20, Bolivian President Evo Morales will go to the polls in search of a fourth term. Victory would extend his time in office to almost two decades, and — depending on how the election goes — could place democracy itself at risk in the Andean country.

Ben Raderstorf, Michael Camilleri

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ The Washington Post