Analysis

Nicolás Maduro

It’s Not the Time for War Games With Venezuela

The priority of the US in the country should be to avoid a humanitarian disaster, not sending naval destroyers.

Michael Shifter, Michael Camilleri

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ The New York Times

Portrait of Nicolás Maduro

Can Justice for Maduro Bring Peace to Venezuela?

On Tuesday, Secretary of State Michael R. Pompeo unveiled a detailed framework for restoring democracy in Venezuela that was immediately rejected by the man who would need to step aside for such a transition to occur: Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro.

Michael Camilleri

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Los Angeles Times

Power lines in wetlands

Countering China through Infrastructure Investments

The US has introduced several measures to facilitate energy & infrastructure investment in Latin America. However, the impact will likely be constrained by the challenging investment environment in many Latin American countries, demonstrating the limitations for the US in competing with China’s centralized economic model.

Lisa Viscidi, Sarah Phillips

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Global Americans

Un hombre aborda un bus en Managua en medio de la epidemia del coronavirus

El impacto de la pandemia sobre las remesas en Nicaragua y América Latina

La pandemia causada por el Covid-19 está creando estragos y consecuencias económicas en todo el mundo. En 2020, se proyecta caída de -5 por ciento de las remesas en Nicaragua, recibiendo $75 millones menos, con una caída mayor del turismo, la economía caerá en -2 por ciento.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial

Black and white globe

Migrants and the Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Remittances

This analysis offers a glimpse of the potential impact of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on US immigrants and family remittances. Past events involving worldwide crises can offer insight as to how this pandemic will likely affect remittance transfers. Considering migrants’ financial and health vulnerabilities as well as the forecast recession, a conservative estimate shows that remittances will register a -3 percent decline in 2020 relative to 2019, from $77 billion to $75 billion.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Download Analysis

Inauguration of Luis Almagro as OAS Secretary General

Elecciones en la OEA: ¿Almagro vs Espinosa o vs Maduro?

En un contexto de fragmentación regional como el actual, donde cada país está concentrado en sus propios desafíos domésticos, la OEA es una institución que cumple importantes funciones y cuenta con un personal dedicado, pero que persiste como poco más que una cáscara vacía. La elección del viernes no va a cambiar esa realidad.

Bruno Binetti

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Agenda Pública

PDVSA gas station in Venezuela

Can Venezuela’s Oil Industry Ever Recover?

Once a major OPEC producer, Venezuela has witnessed a spectacular fall in oil production over the last 20 years under Hugo Chávez and Nicolás Maduro. In 2019, U.S. sanctions hastened this decline. Will Venezuela ever reclaim its place as a top oil producer?

Lisa Viscidi, Nate Graham

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Houston Chronicle

Manuel Orozco being interviewed by VOA Video

Increased Tensions in Latin America

Manuel Orozco was interviewed on February 14, 2020 by Gonzalo Abarca from VOA Noticias: Foro Interamericano to discuss the H2A visas for Guatamalans, Nayib Bukele’s display of military force and Juan Guaidó’s international tour.

Manuel Orozco, Gonzalo Abarca

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ VOA Noticias Foro Interamericano

Foto de un globo que muestra las Américas

La migración y la democracia: exclusión y expulsión

La exclusión y la expulsión son los resultados de estructuras estatales dañadas, afectadas por muchos países en condiciones estatales fallidas, así como la ausencia de consenso o polarización social y política sobre el tipo de sujeto político que conforma la sociedad moderna.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial

President Trump Visits with the Interim President of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela to the White House

Venezuela’s Crisis: Guaidó and the bet on realism

A year ago, the emergence of Guaidó brought some hope to Venezuela. He, and many others, then believed that international and national pressure would make the military turn from Maduro to Guaido, resulting in the regime’s fall. They were mistaken. They were guilty of a lack of realism. Today is a time for realism. It is also a time to be creative, open to new possibilities that have a chance, however remote, of ending the nightmare in our hemisphere.

Michael Shifter

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Clarín