Analysis

Image of broadcast of a speech by Ortega

Covid-19 Pandemic and the Lack of Democracy in Nicaragua

Manuel Orozco outlines how Daniel Ortega’s regime is using the Covid-19 pandemic as an opportunity to ensure political survival. Regardless of the measure used, Nicaragua is the country that has least adhered to efforts to mitigate the pandemic. The consequences of the government’s inaction are deadly.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial

China-Celac Forum 2014

China’s Regional Engagement Goals in Latin America

The success of China’s regional outreach in Latin America will depend, as it has for a number of years, on Beijing’s relative influence in regional institutions and on the capacity and effectiveness of the institutions themselves.

Margaret Myers

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Carnegie-Tsinghua Center for Global Policy

President Donald J. Trump points to a reporter with a question during the coronavirus (COVID-19) update briefing Wednesday, March 25, 2020

The Trump Show

In just two months, the US death toll from the coronavirus pandemic has surpassed US casualties from the Vietnam War, and more than 30 million American workers have already applied for unemployment insurance. Against the backdrop of this devastating health and economic crisis, Trump is simply unable to show real leadership and has been unwilling to assume his share of responsibility for the calamity. As the US entered the worst phase of the crisis, his position on the pandemic has been notably incoherent and contradictory.

Michael Shifter

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ El Faro

Trabajadores del Estado y simpatizantes orteguistas participan en una actividad del caudillo sandinista Daniel Ortega

El vacío de poder y el secuestro de los servidores públicos

Desde inicios de 2020, Nicaragua se ha estancado ante un vacío de poder que se ha agravado por la crisis de la pandemia, acompañado de un empate político prolongado entre el régimen y los actores del movimiento opositor de la Coalición Nacional.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial

Marcelo Ebrard

Amid Covid-19, China Ups Its Game in Latin America

China has become an essential, reliable partner for Latin American nations, while the United States, under the Trump Adminstration, has alienated itself away from longtime regional partners.

Rebecca Bill Chavez, Paul Angelo

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ New York Times

Nicolás Maduro

It’s Not the Time for War Games With Venezuela

The priority of the US in the country should be to avoid a humanitarian disaster, not sending naval destroyers.

Michael Shifter, Michael Camilleri

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ The New York Times

Portrait of Nicolás Maduro

Can Justice for Maduro Bring Peace to Venezuela?

On Tuesday, Secretary of State Michael R. Pompeo unveiled a detailed framework for restoring democracy in Venezuela that was immediately rejected by the man who would need to step aside for such a transition to occur: Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro.

Michael Camilleri

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Los Angeles Times

Power lines in wetlands

Countering China through Infrastructure Investments

The US has introduced several measures to facilitate energy & infrastructure investment in Latin America. However, the impact will likely be constrained by the challenging investment environment in many Latin American countries, demonstrating the limitations for the US in competing with China’s centralized economic model.

Lisa Viscidi, Sarah Phillips

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Global Americans

Un hombre aborda un bus en Managua en medio de la epidemia del coronavirus

El impacto de la pandemia sobre las remesas en Nicaragua y América Latina

La pandemia causada por el Covid-19 está creando estragos y consecuencias económicas en todo el mundo. En 2020, se proyecta caída de -5 por ciento de las remesas en Nicaragua, recibiendo $75 millones menos, con una caída mayor del turismo, la economía caerá en -2 por ciento.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial

Black and white globe

Migrants and the Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Remittances

This analysis offers a glimpse of the potential impact of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on US immigrants and family remittances. Past events involving worldwide crises can offer insight as to how this pandemic will likely affect remittance transfers. Considering migrants’ financial and health vulnerabilities as well as the forecast recession, a conservative estimate shows that remittances will register a -3 percent decline in 2020 relative to 2019, from $77 billion to $75 billion.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Download Analysis

Inauguration of Luis Almagro as OAS Secretary General

Elecciones en la OEA: ¿Almagro vs Espinosa o vs Maduro?

En un contexto de fragmentación regional como el actual, donde cada país está concentrado en sus propios desafíos domésticos, la OEA es una institución que cumple importantes funciones y cuenta con un personal dedicado, pero que persiste como poco más que una cáscara vacía. La elección del viernes no va a cambiar esa realidad.

Bruno Binetti

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Agenda Pública