Latin America Advisor

A Daily Publication of The Dialogue

Who Is Best Placed to Win Canada’s October Election?

Conservative Party leader Andrew Scheer is “the only plausible alternative prime minister” to Justin Trudeau and will mount a strong campaign, Christopher Sands writes below. // File Photo: Andre Forget via CC license. Conservative Party leader Andrew Scheer is “the only plausible alternative prime minister” to Justin Trudeau and will mount a strong campaign, Christopher Sands writes below. // File Photo: Andre Forget via CC license.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau on Sept. 11 called for a federal election to be held on Oct. 21. Trudeau, who has been facing an ethics scandal in recent months, is seeking his second term in office. Opinion polls show both the prime minister and his main rival, Conservative Party leader Andrew Scheer, with just over 30 percent support each. How likely is Trudeau to be re-elected in October, and what platforms are other candidates running on? What factors are most shaping the race? What is at stake for Latin America and the Caribbean if there is a change in government, including on issues such as Venezuela’s political crisis and the United States-Mexico-Canada, or USMCA, trade deal?

 

Maureen Boyd, fellow at the Canadian Global Affairs Institute and director of the Carleton Initiative for Parliamentary and Diplomatic Engagement: “Canadian elections are volatile with unpredictable outcomes. In 2015, the Trudeau Liberals started in third place and ended up with a majority government. The Liberals are campaigning on their record on environmental and economic issues. The Conservatives will focus on the economy and ethical lapses of the Liberals. The New Democratic Party platform advocates increasing social benefits, and the Green Party will campaign on stopping climate change. The campaign matters, particularly the last days. Voters will pay attention to the leaders’ debate on Oct. 7 two weeks before the election. The leaders will talk about foreign policy, but it won’t decide the election. While the Conservatives say they would deal better with China and the United States, no one expects there would be substantive policy differences. The focus of the Trudeau government’s efforts in the Americas has been on the renegotiation of NAFTA and now the U.S. Congress’ required ratification of USMCA. Minister Freeland has also…”

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U.S. Orders Expulsion of Two Cuban Diplomats

The State Department ordered the expulsion of two Cuban diplomats to the United Nations, accusing them of participating in “influence operations” against the United States. Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodríguez called the accusations against the envoys “vulgar slander.”
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About the Latin America Advisor

The Inter-American Dialogue publishes the Latin America Advisor every business day for a distinguished membership of informed corporate leaders, scholars, and government officials invested in Latin America’s development and future. The Advisor‘s highly regarded Q&A section covers questions submitted by subscribers themselves. Commentators regularly include heads of state, business leaders, diplomats, economists, analysts, and thought leaders from around the world. Many of the world’s largest and fastest-growing companies subscribe to the Advisor. To subscribe click here or for more information, contact Erik Brand, publisher of the Advisor, at ebrand@thedialogue.org.


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Erik Brand

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Gene Kuleta

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Anastasia Chacón González

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