Analysis

Jair Bolsonaro, A View from the North

Rather than building a robust partnership with the United States, Bolsonaro’s current trajectory may end up with Brazil facing a largely indifferent Washington. Yes, Trump did declare this week that he wants a free trade deal with Brazil, but even if Brazil can find a way around Mercosur’s rules and begin to pursue a bilateral accord, negotiations will take several years to complete. A successful outcome is not out of the question, but it will require to thoroughly overhaul its highly protected economy, which is among the most insular in the world.

Peter Hakim

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Veja

Conservative Alejandro Giammattei was elected Guatemala’s president on Sunday in the country’s presidential runoff. // File Photo: Giammattei Campaign.

What Will a New President Bring to Guatemala?

To what can Giammattei attribute his victory, and what policies can Guatemalans expect during his presidency?

Salvador Paiz, Mario Polanco, James Meyer

Latin America Advisor ˙

Video

The Oil from Ipanema

Brazil has vast oil reserves, but can the Bolsonaro government get the energy to market? Lisa Viscidi tells Richard Miles of CSIS that reforms are already in place that will enable oil production “to take off.” The real obstacles are the financial stability of Petrobras, the shaky state oil conglomerate, and the monopoly that the state has on most aspects of energy production, delivery, and even retail sales.

Lisa Viscidi, Richard Miles

Interviews ˙ ˙ Center for Strategic & International Studies

Diálogo sobre os desafios da segurança e democracia no Brasil e na América Latina

No dia 10 de junho foi realizado, em parceria com o Instituto Igarapé, o evento “Diálogo sobre os desafios da segurança e democracia no Brasil e na América Latina”, em conjunto com o lançamento da publicação “Unfulfilled Promises”, que aborda diversos temas relacionados à América Latina.

CEBRI Online

Event Summaries ˙ ˙ CEBRI

Promesas Incumplidas: América Latina Hoy

El libro busca hacer un balance de donde se encuentra América Latina en una serie de temas cruciales: desarrollo socioeconómico, seguridad y violencia, estado de derecho, crecimiento económico, integración regional y relaciones con el mundo.

Laura Chinchilla, Catalina Botero, Robert Muggah, Augusto de la Torre, Alain Ize, George Gray Molina, Ana Covarrubias, Andrés Malamud, Michael Shifter, Bruno Binetti

Books ˙ ˙ Promesas Incumplidas: América Latina Hoy

The impact of migrants’ remittances and investment on rural youth

Manuel Orozco, director of the Migration, Remittances, and Development Program, recently co-authored a report with Mariellen Jewers titled “The impact of migrants’ remittances and investment on rural youth.”

Manuel Orozco

Reports ˙ ˙ International Fund for Agricultural Development

Are China and Panama Getting It Right?

Best outcomes for Panama, whether in its relations with China or other economic partners, will depend on the country’s commitment to open and equitable procurement processes and effective project monitoring and evaluation.

Margaret Myers

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Latin Trade

Can the ‘Landmark’ EU-Mercosur Trade Deal Be Successfully Implemented?

After 20 years of on-and-off negotiations, leaders from the European Union and South America’s Mercosur trade bloc announced late last month that they had reached a sweeping trade agreement encompassing 800 million people and almost a quarter of the global economy. In an email interview with WPR, Bruno Binetti, a Buenos Aires-based research fellow at the Inter-American Dialogue, discusses the many obstacles standing in the way of the deal’s successful implementation. 

Bruno Binetti

Interviews ˙ ˙ World Politics Review