Analysis

Video

Impacts of Politics and Oil Price Collapse on South America’s Smaller and Emerging Producers

Political changes are shaping the outlook in many of South America’s smaller and emerging oil and gas producers, including Guyana, Suriname, Ecuador, Peru and Bolivia. At a webinar co-hosted by the Inter-American Dialogue and the National Capital Area Chapter of the United States Association for Energy Economics (NCAC-USAEE), panelists discussed how political developments and the oil price decline are likely to impact producers in the region.

Sarah Phillips

Event Summaries ˙

Black and white globe

Migrants and the Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Remittances

This analysis offers a glimpse of the potential impact of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on US immigrants and family remittances. Past events involving worldwide crises can offer insight as to how this pandemic will likely affect remittance transfers. Considering migrants’ financial and health vulnerabilities as well as the forecast recession, a conservative estimate shows that remittances will register a -3 percent decline in 2020 relative to 2019, from $77 billion to $75 billion.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Download Analysis

Remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean in 2019. Remittance volume and growth. Political instability. Migration and development.

Remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean in 2019: Emerging Challenges

This report analyzes trends in remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean in 2019 and explores the factors related to slowing remittance growth. Family remittances to the region grew by approximately 8% compared to 2018 and totaled nearly US$100 billion, which stands in contrast to the region’s slower economic growth of 0.6%.

Manuel Orozco

Reports ˙ ˙ Download Report

The Remittance Marketplace in 2019

The Remittance Marketplace in 2019: The Growing Role of Digital Payments

This report analyzes the role of money transfer intermediaries on migrants sending remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean. We look at the current modernization of the payments industry, specifically as it relates to digital payments, analyzes trends in transfer costs, and discusses the proposed changes to the ‘Remittance Rule,’ including the consequences they may have on remittance senders.

Manuel Orozco, Kathryn Klaas, Nicole Ledesma

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Inauguration of Luis Almagro as OAS Secretary General

Elecciones en la OEA: ¿Almagro vs Espinosa o vs Maduro?

En un contexto de fragmentación regional como el actual, donde cada país está concentrado en sus propios desafíos domésticos, la OEA es una institución que cumple importantes funciones y cuenta con un personal dedicado, pero que persiste como poco más que una cáscara vacía. La elección del viernes no va a cambiar esa realidad.

Bruno Binetti

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Agenda Pública

Scaling Back: Chinese Finance to LAC, 2019

Scaling Back: Chinese Development Finance in LAC, 2019

The year 2019 was among the lowest on record for Chinese state-to-state finance in Latin America, with only approximately $1.1 billion in loans from China Development Bank and China Eximbank to Latin American governments and state-owned enterprises.

Margaret Myers, Kevin P. Gallagher

Reports ˙ ˙ Download Report

Primary wins in three states brought former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden (L) closer to clinching his party’s nomination in the presidential race. He and Sen. Bernie Sanders (R) are vying to unseat U.S. President Donald Trump. // File Photos: Biden Campaign, Sanders Campaign.

What Would a New U.S. Administration Mean for the Region?

How would a Democratic administration differ from a second Trump term with regard to foreign policy toward Latin America and the Caribbean?

Arturo Sarukhan, Rebecca Bill Chavez, Ray Walser, Marc Becker, Michelle DiGruttolo, Miyako Yerick, Danny Turkel, Todd Bensman

Latin America Advisor ˙

Around the world, including in Latin America and the Caribbean, the number of cases of the novel coronavirus, or Covid-19, has grown exponentially. Governments have implemented increasingly tough restrictions to try to contain the spread.

How Well Are Latin American Nations Handling Covid-19?

How are Latin American and Caribbean nations coping with the spread of the new coronavirus?

Andrés Rozental, María L. Ávila-Agüero, Katherine Bliss, Alejandro Chafuen, Adriano Massuda

Latin America Advisor ˙

Art store in Havana, Cuba

La transición que no fue en Cuba

Lenier González escribe esta reseña sobre el libro del noruego Vegard Bye que intenta explicar por qué el Gobierno cubano paralizó en 2016 el proceso de reformas iniciado por Raúl Castro.

Lenier González

Book Review ˙ ˙ 14 y medio

A platform of Brazilian state oil company Petrobras is pictured.

How Hard Will the Oil Price Plunge Hit Latin America?

Which oil-producing nations in Latin America and the Caribbean will be the hardest hit by the oil price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia?

Lisa Viscidi, Sarah Phillips, Cleveland Jones, Chris Cote, Joel Acosta

Latin America Advisor ˙