In recent years, the state of democratic governance in Latin America has been decidedly mixed. Discussion has turned away from elections and the leftward swings in several countries. Electoral contests are increasingly a matter of routine, and ideology has become notably less salient. The debate now centers on how leaders and institutions confront the complicated tasks of managing their economic and socialaff airs while representing heterogeneous societies with heightened demands and expectations.
The Inter-American Dialogue closely monitors the state of democratic governance and the rule of law in the countries of the Western Hemisphere. Our analysis, reports, and exchanges serve to encourage compliance with regional and international democratic commitments. In recent years, the Dialogue has placed emphasis on elections, press freedom, public opinion within Latin America’s growing middle class, and the implications of political shifts.
Rather than building a robust partnership with the United States, Bolsonaro’s current trajectory may end up with Brazil facing a largely indifferent Washington. Yes, Trump did declare this week that he wants a free trade deal with Brazil, but even if Brazil can find a way around Mercosur’s rules and begin to pursue a bilateral accord, negotiations will take several years to complete. A successful outcome is not out of the question, but it will require to thoroughly overhaul its highly protected economy, which is among the most insular in the world.
El libro busca hacer un balance de donde se encuentra América Latina en una serie de temas cruciales: desarrollo socioeconómico, seguridad y violencia, estado de derecho, crecimiento económico, integración regional y relaciones con el mundo.
Es obvio que la administración Trump preferiría ver un segundo gobierno de Mauricio Macri. Sin embargo, de manera realista, ese escenario ahora parece altamente improbable. La relación de los Estados Unidos con un gobierno liderado por Alberto Fernández dependerá de la medida en que el nuevo presidente podrá seguir un curso más moderado y pragmático que el representado por el kirchnerismo y particularmente de su vicepresidenta Cristina Kirchner.