Analysis

President Trump Visits with the Interim President of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela to the White House

Venezuela’s Crisis: Guaidó and the bet on realism

A year ago, the emergence of Guaidó brought some hope to Venezuela. He, and many others, then believed that international and national pressure would make the military turn from Maduro to Guaido, resulting in the regime’s fall. They were mistaken. They were guilty of a lack of realism. Today is a time for realism. It is also a time to be creative, open to new possibilities that have a chance, however remote, of ending the nightmare in our hemisphere.

Michael Shifter

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Clarín

President Donald J. Trump welcomes Interim President of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela Juan Guaido Wednesday, Feb. 5, 2020

¿Cómo ayudar mejor a la democracia en Venezuela?

La gira internacional de Juan Guaidó por Europa y América ha terminado esta semana en la Casa Blanca, desde donde se impulsó hace un año su reconocimiento internacional. En este tiempo no ha habido elecciones democráticas en Venezuela ni conversaciones productivas entre el gobierno de Nicolás Maduro y la oposición. ¿Podríamos haberlo hecho mejor? Política Exterior consultó con Michael Shifter y otros expertos.

Michael Shifter

Interviews ˙ ˙ Política Exterior

Michael Shifter speaks about the protest in Latin America Video

New Forms of Solidarity: Towards Fraternal Inclusion, Integration and Innovation

Michael Shifter participated in the forum “New Forms of Solidarity: Towards Fraternal Inclusion, Integration and Innovation” organized by the Pontifical Academy of Social Sciences at Casina Pio IV in the Vatican. Shifter discussed the causes and motivations for the protests seen in Latin America in 2019, what to expect for 2020, and the role of multilateral organizations in this context.

Michael Shifter

Event Summaries ˙ ˙ Pontifical Academy of Social Sciences

Michael Camilleri talks about Trump reaction to Iowa caucus Video

El fracaso del caucus de Iowa

Michael Camilleri, director del programa de estado de derecho, habló con María Alejandra Requena de CNN para analizar lo que pasó en Iowa y la reacción del presidente Trump.

Michael Camilleri, María Alejandra Requena

Interviews ˙ ˙ CNN

Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean is expected to rebound this year after years of economic decline, according to the International Monetary Fund’s Alejandro Werner. // File Photo: International Monetary Fund.

Are Latin America’s Economies Facing More Headwinds?

How are external factors such as global trade tensions, the coronavirus outbreak and Brexit likely to affect Latin America and the Caribbean, and what structural issues are still holding the region back?

Alicia Bárcena, David Ross, Shelly Shetty, Alfredo Coutiño

Latin America Advisor ˙

Venezuelan flag Video

Can Western companies save Venezuela’s oil sector? Do they want to?

Lisa Viscidi and Nate Graham spoke with S&P Global Platts about the findings of a new report which argues that Western oil companies will be needed to revive Venezuela’s oil sector. They discuss the obstacles that could affect whether these firms increase production in the country under a new government, including US sanctions uncertainty, high taxes, and a shortage of workers and working infrastructure.

Lisa Viscidi, Nate Graham, Brian Scheid, Meghan Gordon

Interviews ˙ ˙ S&P Global Platts

Mike Pence, Juan Guaido and Iván Duque during a meeting in Colombia

Venezuela’s Guaidó Angles for Trump Meeting at End of Trip

Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaidó wraps up an international tour with a rally in Miami with the looming question whether the opposition leader can score an important meeting with President Donald Trump. Shifter discussed what the lack of a Trump-Guaidó session could signal to Venezuelans and the Venezuelan opposition, Guaidó popularity, and Trump’s take on Venezuela.

Michael Shifter

Interviews ˙ ˙ The Associated Press

Early Childhood Brazil

Brazil: Progress Report of Early Childhood Development Policies

Childhood development has been gaining traction in recent years and is increasingly present in the Brazilian public agenda, however improving the quality and measurement of services is still a priority. This report presents the current state of early childhood policies in Brazil.

Inter-American Dialogue, Fundação Maria Cecília Souto Vidigal

Reports ˙ ˙ Brasil: Informe de Progreso de Políticas de Primera Infancia

Manuel Orozco sits down for interview with Esta Semana. Video

The Challenges Facing the National Coalition in Nicaragua

Manuel Orozco was invited to Esta Semana at Confidencial, where he commented on political scenarios for Nicaragua in 2020 and discussed the call made by the Civic Alliance and the National Unity to create a National Coalition for democracy, to dislodge the Ortega-Murillo dictatorship from power.

Manuel Orozco, Carlos Fernando Chamorro

Interviews ˙ ˙ Confidencial

Protesters have criticized Puerto Rico Governor Wanda Vázquez over aid that was undistributed following Hurricane Maria in 2017. // File Photo: Commonwealth of Puerto Rico.

How Much Will a Scandal Over Aid Harm Puerto Rico?

Why did Puerto Rico’s government fail to distribute the aid, and could the incident affect future disbursements of federal funds for the U.S. territory?

Mayra Vélez Serrano, Kenneth McClintock, Jacqueline Font-Guzmán, Julio López Varona, Beatrice Rangel

Latin America Advisor ˙

Michael Shifter in interview with CGTN discussing Peru's new congress Video

Peru’s New Congress

In a first, Peruvians voted in a legislative election held separately from a presidential ballot. President Martin Vizcarra dissolved the legislature last year, amid an anti-corruption campaign. Michael Shifter spoke with CGTN’s Roee Ruttenberg about the vote and what it means for Peru going forward. 

Michael Shifter, Roee Ruttenberg

Interviews ˙ ˙ CGTN

Martin Vizcarra, president of Peru, during ceremony for new foreign minister Néstor Popolizio Bardales Video

Elections for Congress in Peru

On Sunday, January 26 Peru will hold extraordinary elections for congress after President Martin Vizcarra dissolved it in September last year. Michael Shifter discussed with BBC Newshour what this election means for Peru.  

Michael Shifter

Interviews ˙ ˙ BBC Newshour

Michael Shifter conversa con red+ sobre el juicio contra Donald Trump Video

‘Juicio político no sacará a Trump de la presidencia’: Michael Shifter

Michael Shifter, presidente del Diálogo Interamericano, aseguró este viernes en red+ conexión, que el juicio político en el Senado contra el presidente Donald Trump no logrará apartarlo de su cargo. El analista también se refirió a la situación en Venezuela, sobre la que destacó la capacidad que tiene el régimen de Nicolás Maduro para sobrevivir a las medidas de castigo impuestas precisamente por EE.UU.

Michael Shifter

Interviews ˙ ˙ Red+ Conexión