Analysis

Reviving Venezuela’s Oil Industry Is Easier Said Than Done

Even if Juan Guaido or another opposition figure finally takes the reins and starts fixing the oil sector in Venezuela, it will take years before oil exports can provide the economic boost needed to pull the nation out of the morass. Venezuela’s oil industry has been severely damaged, and there are questions about the long-term economic viability of its oil fields. Venezuelans will likely be disappointed with the pace of the economic turnaround under any new government—a risk that poses a real threat to political stability. Expectations ought to be tempered.

Lisa Viscidi, Nate Graham

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ World Politics Review

Venezuela, 20 years after Chávez

February 2nd marks two decades since Hugo Chavez first assumed the presidency of Venezuela. Today, the Bolivarian Revolution that Chavez led until his death in 2013 is at its most critical moment: the economy is in ruins, three million Venezuelans have emigrated in recent years, and his successor, Nicolás Maduro, rules as a dictator while Juan Guaidó took the oath as interim president with the support of the international community. 

Michael Shifter, Bruno Binetti

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ New York Times Español

The Monroe Doctrine may be dead in Latin America, but its ghost still haunts the White House

This is a critical moment in the Venezuela crisis – hopeful yet uncertain. Moving forward, senior Trump administration officials would be wise to devote more time with their Latin American counterparts, issuing joint statements and coordinating actions to pressure the regime and advance Mr. Guaido’s efforts at reconciliation. Posturing about the U.S.’s power and influence in Venezuela evokes a 19th-century doctrine that has long been irrelevant and is counterproductive.

Michael Shifter

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ The Globe and Mail

El espejismo antipartidario

Nayib Bukele lidera ampliamente las encuestas para la elección presidencial en El Salvador, que tendrá lugar en pocos días. Su gran activo ha sido el rechazo generalizado de la ciudadanía a los dos partidos que gobiernan el país desde hace un cuarto de siglo. La debilidad de los partidos es uno de los problemas más serios de la democracia en América Latina. Negarse a enfrentarlo es resignarse a tener una política balcanizada, volátil, caudillista y, por ello mismo, machista.

Kevin Casas-Zamora

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ New York Times Español

Michael Shifter Briefs Key Congressional Staff

On Thursday, January 31st, Dialogue president Michael Shifter briefed key Congressional staff during a meeting organized by the House Foreign Affairs Committee.

Michael Shifter

Event Summaries ˙

Video

Shifter: EE.UU. y la oposición venezolana no buscan un golpe militar

Michael Shifter, presidente del Diálogo Interamericano, participó en Directo USA con Juan Carlos López donde discutieron el reconocimiento internacional al gobierno interino de Juan Guaidó en Venezuela, la política de Estados Unidos respecto a Venezuela y los escenarios posibles para el desenlace de la crisis venezolana.

Michael Shifter

Interviews ˙ ˙ CNN

Video

Shifter: ¿Puede Venezuela avanzar hacia una transición pacífica?

El presidente del Diálogo Interamericano, Michael Shifter, estuvo en Poder Latino con Gustau Alegret donde discutió la situación actual de Venezuela, analizando la posibilidad de lograr una transición pacífica en Venezuela y los factores más importantes para lograrlo.

Michael Shifter

Interviews ˙ ˙ NTN24

Venezuela on the Brink

Michael Camilleri discusses the many implications of Juan Guaidó’s rise to power in Venezuela.

Michael Camilleri

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ La Nación

Em Davos, Bolsonaro frustra quem queria dados e quem ‘torcia’ por polêmicas

A passagem de Bolsonaro por Davos, na Suíça, foi considerada rasa, sem grandes destaques, mas também longe de escorregões, segundo analistas ouvidos pelo UOL — entre eles, o ex-embaixador Rubens Ricupero, e o brasilianista Peter Hakim, presidente emérito do Inter-American Dialogue, em Washington (EUA).

Peter Hakim, Talita Marchao

Interviews ˙ ˙ UOL

Can Venezuela Have a Peaceful Transition?

The country’s opposition has gained new momentum, but it’s the military that will decide the fate of Nicolás Maduro’s presidency.

Michael Shifter

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ The New York Times

Video

Juan Guaidó: US backs opposition leader as Venezuela president

BBC’s Beyond 100 Days reported on the Venezuelan political crisis. Inter-American Dialogue president Michael Shifter analyzed Juan Guaidó’s swearing in as interim president, as well as the role that the military and external actors will play in Venezuela’s democratic transition. Michael Shitfer’s comments:  “We have two governments in Venezuela –…

Michael Shifter

Interviews ˙ ˙ BBC

Video

Crisis in Venezuela: What lies ahead for Juan Guaidó?

CGTN’s Mike Walter spoke with the President of the Inter-American Dialogue, Michael Shifter, about the crisis in Venezuela. Among the topics discussed were Juan Guaidó’s swearing in as interim president, the role that the military and outside actors will play, and how the crisis might unravel. Comments by Michael Shifter: …

Michael Shifter

Interviews ˙ ˙ CGTN

The Path to Stability in Venezuela is Narrow Indeed

Juan Guaidó’s proclamation that he is interim president of Venezuela, which has won the full support of the United States and other countries, opens a new phase in the long crisis of that Latin American nation. For the first time in years, dictator Nicolás Maduro is on the defensive, and Venezuelans are hopeful that change is possible. But it would be naïve to think this means the end of the chavista regime.

Bruno Binetti

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ New York Daily News