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Stein Tapped to Lead Truth Commission    
Former Guatemalan vice-president and Dialogue Board member, Eduardo Stein, has been invited by President Porfírio Lobo of Honduras to lead a national truth commission to examine events surrounding the June 2009 ouster of Manuel Zelaya. More information.

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Dilma Rousseff, Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's handpicked successor, has been gaining ground on São Paulo Gov. José Serra in polls ahead of Brazil's October presidential election. Is Lula's high popularity finally rubbing off on Rousseff? Dialogue member Roberto Teixeira da Costa and others commented in the Latin America Advisor.

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It is likely to only heighten uncertainty and deeper anxiety among most Venezuelans. The country may well be heading into a politically tumultuous year.

Michael Shifter
Reuters
January 26, 2010
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Over 100 businesses work with the Dialogue to help shape the hemispheric policy agenda. Every business day, executives pose questions to experts in the Dialogue's Latin America Advisor published for Corporate Circle members. Learn more



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cHinchilla Clinches First-Round victory in Costa Rica

Fending off a late surge by her closest opponents, Laura Chinchilla of the National Liberation Party was elected Costa Rica's first female president on February 7, becoming Latin America's sixth woman to be elected president of her country. She captured 47% of the vote, defeating Ottón Solís of the Citizen Action Party who received 25% of the vote and Otto Guevarra of the Libertarian Movement who came in third with 21%.

Chinchilla's victory affirms the popular presidency of Oscar Arias, for whom Chinchilla served as minister of public security and later vice-president before resigning to devote herself to her presidential campaign. The Latin America Advisor published a Q&A on Chinchilla's presidential prospects, and the Dialogue's Michael Lisman was interviewed in El Proceso and El Informador.

Publications And Events

EVENT: Latin America’s Economic Prospects and Policy Challenges. February 3, 2010. (Audio)

"New bipartisanship over Haiti is promising," by Daniel Erikson, Des Moines Register, January 29, 2010.

"International community, Haitians must work together," by Peter Bell, Des Moines Register, January 29, 2010.

"La comezón del primer año," by Diego García-Sayán, La República (Peru), January 29, 2010.

"No 'chavizar' la política exterior," by Genaro Arriagada, La Tercera (Chile), January 26, 2010.

"Un año crucial para Obama," Michael Shifter, El Colombiano, January 26, 2010. (English)

"In Rebuilding Haiti, Improving Education Must Be a Priority," by Jeffrey Puryear, Latin America Advisor, January 25, 2010.

"Haiti Primer," interview with Dan Erikson on the Kojo Nnamdi Show, January 25, 2010. 

EVENT: A Conversation with the US Ambassadors to the Andean Region. January 22, 2010. 

"Obama and Latin America: New Beginnings, Old Frictions," by Michael Shifter, Current History, February 2010.

EVENT: A Conversation on the Chilean Elections with Genaro Arriagada. January 20, 2010.

EVENT: A Discussion with Hugo Llorens, US Ambassador to Honduras.  January 20, 2010. (Audio)

"Más allá de rótulos ideológicos en Latinoamérica," by Michael Shifter, El Tiempo (Colombia), January 16, 2010. (English)

"The Ghosts of Port-au-Prince," by Daniel P. Erikson, Foreign Policy, January 14, 2010. 

"Haiti's faint signs of progress take a vicious blow," by Daniel P. Erikson, CNN Opinion, January 14, 2010. 

"Earthquake Exposes Haiti's Silent Crisis," by Daniel P. Erikson, Sphere, January 13, 2010. 

"Can Spain solve the Cuba problem?" by Daniel P. Erikson, Politica Exterior (Spain), January 13, 2010. (Spanish

"The Obama Administration: A difficult year in Latin America," by Peter Hakim, El Universal (Mexico), January 7, 2010. (Spanish)

"La doctrina Chavezjad: Entre el mito y la especulación," by Michael Shifter, Poder (Venezuela), January 2010. (English)

"The Twin Challenges of Honduras," by Peter Hakim, América Economía, January 4, 2010. (Spanish)

"Lula could become key climate change broker in 2010," by Paul Isbell, Infolatam, January 4, 2010. (Spanish)

"Raúl's nightmare," by Marifeli Pérez-Stable, The Miami Herald, January 3, 2010.

"Após expectativa inicial, Obama termina o ano distante da America Latina," Interview with Michael Shifter in ANSA (Brazil), December 30, 2009.

"Misunderstanding the Problem," by Michael Shifter, The New Republic, December 29, 2009.

"Year In Review: 2009," Interview with Peter Hakim, December 28, 2009.

"Obama y América Latina: un año," by Michael Shifter, El Colombiano (Colombia), December 26, 2009. (English

"Não vai haver convergência Brasil-EUA," Interview with Michael Shifter in Folha (Brazil), December 26, 2009.

"What Issues Will Drive U.S.-Latin American Relations Next Year?" by Peter Hakim, Latin America Advisor, December 24, 2009.

"Cuba and New Technologies," event covered by C-SPAN, December 18, 2009.

"Dealing democracy a death blow," by Marifeli Pérez-Stable, The Miami Herald, December 17, 2009. (Spanish)

"China in the Caribbean: The New Big Brother," China Brief, Vol. 9, Issue: 25, December 16, 2009.

"Obama: De Candidato a Presidente," by Michael Shifter, ideele (Peru), December 16, 2009. (English)

"¿ESTÁ RESUELTA LA SEGUNDA VUELTA?" Genaro Arriagada in CIPER (Chile), December 15, 2009.

"Honduras é só um da série de ruídos entre governos Lula e Obama," Interview with Peter Hakim in Agência Estado (Brazil), December 14, 2009.


        More Dialogue publications...

CONGRESSIONAL TESTIMONY

"The Crisis in Honduras," Michael Shifter. Testimony before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs, Subcommittee on the Western Hemisphere. July 10, 2009. (Video)

Testimony presented before the House of Representatives Financial Services Committee Subcommittee on Financial Institutions at the hearing titled "Remittances: Regulation and Disclosure in a New Economic Environment," Manuel Orozco, June 3, 2009. (Webcast)

"The Summit of the Americas: A New Beginning for U.S. Policy in the Region," Peter Hakim testified before the House Foreign Affairs Committee on the U.S. role in the Fifth Summit of the Americas in Trinidad and Tobago on April 17-19. March 11, 2009.

chavez's challenges in Venezuela

Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez faces a number of challenges to his popularity as his government prepares for legislative elections in September, including a countrywide electricity shortage, high inflation and recent protests over the closure of opposition television station RCTV. Michael Shifter commented for media outlets including the Associated Press, Reuters, Fox News, and PBS' Newshour. Dialogue senior fellow Genaro Arriagada contributed an analysis to Chile’s La Tercera. US Ambassador to Venezuela Patrick Duddy spoke at a Dialogue event with other ambassadors to the Andean region on January 22.

LOBO Takes office in HONDURAS

President Porfirio “Pepe” Lobo assumed office on January 27, ending months of political uncertainty in the wake of Honduras’ presidential coup last June. The Dialogue has offered comprehensive coverage of the ongoing political developments there, and its experts have weighed in on the changing of the guard this month. Michael Shifter was quoted in the Financial TimesLa NaciónBloomberg News, and The Wall Street Journal. The Dialogue hosted Ambassador Hugo Llorens for a discussion on the political outlook in Honduras, and the Latin America Advisor published a Q&A on the prospects for Lobo’s legitimacy.

2009: A difficult year for obama in latin america

Latin American perceptions of U.S. leadership improved dramatically in 2009 as President Barack Obama took office, according to a Gallup poll. Yet despite general public goodwill, and a warm reception at the April Summit of the Americas, the Obama administration faced sharp criticism during its first year over the handling of the coup in Honduras and a military agreement between the United States and Colombia that alienated some countries in South America.

Dialogue president Peter Hakim took a look at Obama's "disappointing" first year in Foreign Affairs en Español and published an Op-Ed in El Universal (Mexico). Michael Shifter, the Dialogue's vice president for policy, weighed in with an article in Current History and two pieces for El Colombiano

Major Earthquake hits haiti

A magnitude 7.0 earthquake struck Haiti on January 12, just 10 miles southwest of the capital, Port-au-Prince. News agencies report that tens of thousands have died and up to 3 million people have been displaced. Dan Erikson published articles at Foreign PolicySphere, and CNN and was quoted by IPS, the Washington Times, and Reuters.  Manuel Orozco was quoted in the Washington Post, and Michael Shifter was quoted by the Wall Street Journal and AFP.

2010: The year ahead

This year promises to be one of general—albeit uneven—economic recovery in Latin America and the Caribbean, with some countries pulling ahead and others left behind. Moreover, presidential elections in countries like Chile, Brazil and Colombia could yield some surprises. The Latin America Advisor recently published its annual forecast, which included a Q+A on the prospects for U.S.-Latin American relations with comments from Assistant Secretary of State Arturo Valenzuela and Dialogue president Peter Hakim, among others. Dialogue fellow Paul Isbell wrote a short piece for Infolatam arguing that in 2010 Brazil’s president could become a key broker on global climate change talks. In a forthcoming edition of AmericaEconomia, Peter Hakim and Michael Shifter will take a look at the issues that will dominate global and Latin American politics in 2010. Stay tuned.

The dialogue's 2009 year in review

As 2009 comes to a close, the Dialogue sat down with staff, including Peter Hakim, Michael Shifter, Dan Erikson, Jeff Puryear, and visiting fellow Aurea Molto, to review the significant events of the year and forecast challenges that might lay ahead. Watch the interview with Peter Hakim in its entirety here.

video: a conversation with augusto de la torre of the world bank.

Dialogue President Peter Hakim also comments.

Piñera Wins first round of chilean presidential election

Conservative billionaire Sebastian Piñera won a first-round victory in Chile's presidential election on December 13, setting the stage for a runoff against ruling coalition candidate and former president Eduardo Frei.  The Latin America Advisor previewed the elections in a Q+A on December 7.  Michael Shifter spoke to Time in the lead-up to the election, and Dialogue Senior Fellow Genaro Arriagada analyzed the results of the first round for CIPER-Chile.