Is Cuba Hoping to Emulate China With Its New Constitution?
Far from a fundamental rethinking of the political framework, Cuba’s new constitution is a cautious attempt at salvaging a dysfunctional system.
Analysis
The Reasons for China’s Cooling Interest in Latin America
China’s interest in Latin America has cooled — and that trend will continue.
Blackouts in Venezuela: Why the Power System Failed and How to Fix It
A lack of transmission-line maintenance may have been the immediate trigger for the power outage that left much of Venezuela in darkness on March 7, but it is a symptom of almost two decades of government mismanagement that has debilitated Venezuela’s power sector, draining its reserves of both human and financial capital and nudging it towards collapse.
La salida negociada será dolorosa
Un año después del 18 de abril, Nicaragua se ha constituido en uno de los países más peligrosos del mundo, en donde el ejercicio de la violencia y la coerción institucional han prevalecido sobre el consenso y la democracia.
Latin America Is Already Trump’s 2020 Presidential Campaign Testing Ground
The U.S. president needs to keep cooperating closely with Mexico, steer clear of any military action in Venezuela and refrain from bullying his partners and allies in the region.
Ecuador Migration Trends
Intra-regional migration in the Americas has increased since the 1990s and doubled between 2000 and 2017.[1] Ecuador’s transformation in the last ten years from a traditionally migrant sending to a migrant host and transit nation further illustrates this growing pattern of intra-regional migration.
从2018年趋势看中资银行在拉美地区的关键角色
近期的进展显示，中国的政策性银行、商业银行以及其他金融平台仍将维持中国在拉美地区的角色，并将向更加广泛的项目类型拓宽。
Asimetría y desequilibrio político en la negociación nicaragüense
Las negociaciones que se iniciaron con una agenda limitada a cuatro puntos sustantivos (liberación de presos, libertades civiles y políticas, reforma electoral y justicia) y uno técnico de implementación, representan predominantemente el intento de llegar a un acuerdo para neutralizar la violencia estatal y el conflicto político que estalló en abril 2018 en Nicaragua.
Economic Growth and Family Remittances to Central America in 2018
Central American economies continue to struggle with achieving higher rates of economic growth, of above 4%. The sluggish growth continues to limit the ability of these countries to achieve economic development and prevent emigration in the long term. Of particular relevance is the fact that these economies are highly dependent on a small number of economic activities, and remittances are a central, if not the most important, source of income.
South America’s Prosur: The Answer to a Question Nobody Asked
A new regional body proposed by Colombia and Chile faces difficult prospects.
Fact Sheet: Family Remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean in 2018
Family remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean experienced nearly 10% growth in 2018, one of the largest growth rates in the past 10 years. Growth in remittances stands in stark contrast to the sluggish 1.9% economic growth rate for the region. The countries with the highest remittance growth rates in 2018 included Haiti, Colombia, Brazil, Guatemala and Paraguay.
All Eyes on Guatemala as Crisis Brews Ahead of Elections
Michael Camilleri and Tamar Ziff suggest US policy options in response to Guatemalan President Jimmy Morales’ attacks on CICIG.
Reviving Venezuela’s Oil Industry Is Easier Said Than Done
Even if Juan Guaido or another opposition figure finally takes the reins and starts fixing the oil sector in Venezuela, it will take years before oil exports can provide the economic boost needed to pull the nation out of the morass. Venezuela’s oil industry has been severely damaged, and there are questions about the long-term economic viability of its oil fields. Venezuelans will likely be disappointed with the pace of the economic turnaround under any new government—a risk that poses a real threat to political stability. Expectations ought to be tempered.
Venezuela, 20 years after Chávez
February 2nd marks two decades since Hugo Chavez first assumed the presidency of Venezuela. Today, the Bolivarian Revolution that Chavez led until his death in 2013 is at its most critical moment: the economy is in ruins, three million Venezuelans have emigrated in recent years, and his successor, Nicolás Maduro, rules as a dictator while Juan Guaidó took the oath as interim president with the support of the international community.
The Monroe Doctrine may be dead in Latin America, but its ghost still haunts the White House
This is a critical moment in the Venezuela crisis – hopeful yet uncertain. Moving forward, senior Trump administration officials would be wise to devote more time with their Latin American counterparts, issuing joint statements and coordinating actions to pressure the regime and advance Mr. Guaido’s efforts at reconciliation. Posturing about the U.S.’s power and influence in Venezuela evokes a 19th-century doctrine that has long been irrelevant and is counterproductive.