The Earthquake’s Impact on Remittances
The earthquake in Haiti has exacerbated an existing distress during the international recession and increased uncertainty of what to do and how to help.
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Family remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean experienced nearly 10% growth in 2018, one of the largest growth rates in the past 10 years. Growth in remittances stands in stark contrast to the sluggish 1.9% economic growth rate for the region. The countries with the highest remittance growth rates in 2018 included Haiti, Colombia, Brazil, Guatemala and Paraguay. While Brazil showed negative growth during 2017, in 2018 this changed. Excluding Brazil, aggregate remittance flows to at least 15 Latin America and Caribbean countries comprise 4% of gross domestic product, ranging from 39% for Haiti to 1% for countries like Costa Rica or Venezuela.
The growth in remittances that we are seeing at a regional level is explained by several important developments. Increases in remittances to Mexico can be attributed to continued growth in the average amount remitted, as well as increases in the percent of Mexican migrants sending money to their families. This is partly explained by Mexicans staying longer in the United States. In the case of Central American countries, increases in migration and in amount remitted explain the double-digit growth. Nicaraguan migration during the 2018 political crisis explains continued remittance growth, albeit at a slightly slower rate than in 2017.
Other countries that experienced higher growth rates in 2018 include Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay. Two main factors explain such increases: first, migration from these countries, and second, Venezuelan migration. With regards to the first factor, Colombians and Ecuadorians are among those who are migrating. In a survey the Dialogue carried out among Colombians in Bogota, for example, over 25% of respondents expressed their intention of emigrating in search of better economic opportunities. The second factor refers for Venezuelan migrants in transit or in temporary stay in those countries, who are receiving remittances. This is particularly the case of Venezuelan migrants who are receiving remittances in Colombia, Ecuador and Peru.
Another key factor explaining the increase in remittances is intra-regional migration, mostly related to political instability in the region. Migration from 8 countries experiencing political tensions (see table below) represents more than a third of all migration from the Americas. Venezuela is the most striking example; we estimate that Venezuelan migrants abroad are remitting about US$2 billion from at least six countries.
Panama represents another example of intra-regional remittance growth. Until a few years ago, Panama did not have a large migrant population. However, since the reconstruction process of the Panama Canal and the global economic recession, and more recently the political crises in Colombia, Venezuela, Nicaragua, migration and remitting have increased. According to the Central Bank of Panama, over US$800 million were remitted out of Panama.
The marketplace for money transfers has also evolved, becoming increasingly competitive and high tech. In particular, the market has responded to the demand for services in intraregional markets as well as for digital technologies. With regards to the latter, we find that use of digital transfers has increased substantially. For example, at least two million out of seven million monthly transfers to Mexico are currently done through digital-based channels using online or mobile apps. In addition, many more companies are introducing cross border bill payment as part of the services they offer.
These developments may be part of a larger trend of migrants using new technologies to stay connected to their home country. As the table below indicates, nearly 98% of migrants use WhatsApp to stay connected with family and friends back home. Moreover, these technologies also appear to be linked to certain remittance behaviors. For example, those who use the internet to send remittances and access social media send 66% more money than those who do not.
Use of technology specifically for sending remittances has also increased, with relevant differences in sending behavior. Those who send money via web or mobile platforms are among those who send more money. However, those who send money via a remittance agency are among those who send more frequently, nearly 14 times a year in the case of US-outbound remittances.
The earthquake in Haiti has exacerbated an existing distress during the international recession and increased uncertainty of what to do and how to help.
How do patterns of migration and remittances differ across regions? What kinds of frameworks support the contributions of remittances to local development?
On February 24th, the Inter-American Dialogue held its annual event on Remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean.