Latin America Advisor

Energy Advisor

A Publication of The Dialogue

How Well Is Latin America Adjusting to High Fuel Prices?

Many Latin American and Caribbean governments have subsidized the price of fuel in a bid to ease the pain at the pump. A Brazilian motorist pumping gasoline is pictured. // File Photo: Brazilian Government.

Inflation, persistent supply chain bottlenecks and war in Ukraine sent global fuel prices soaring, though oil prices have fluctuated wildly in recent weeks. Higher costs that consumers must pay for fuel have led to sporadic protests across the region. In response, the governments of Honduras and Paraguay have vowed to subsidize gasoline and diesel, and other nations are considering such measures. What are the implications for the region’s economies from keeping fuel prices artificially low? How long can cash-strapped governments in the region afford to ease people’s pain at the pump? What are the chances of these subsidies becoming “sticky” and politically difficult to remove should economic conditions improve?

David Shields, oil industry analyst at Energía a Debate: “The sharply higher price of gasoline, much of which is imported, poses several dilemmas for governments in the region. Enacting fuel subsidies is their immediate gut reaction to price hikes at the pump that can quickly lead to food inflation and a cost-of-living crisis, hitting the most vulnerable members of society. Politicians are very sensitive to the risk of protests in the streets. Yet, it is the wealthiest segment of society that consumes the most gasoline and is the main beneficiary of the subsidies. The strain of such subsidies on national finances varies from country to country, but overall, it is immense, and subsidies can only be maintained for so long, depending on the state of the public coffers. So, if the war in Ukraine drags on, the financial risks will be high in the medium term. Subsidies account for more than 25 percent of fuel prices that consumers are now paying in…”

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A sister publication of the Inter-American Dialogue’s daily Latin America Advisor, the weekly Energy Advisor captures fresh analysis from business leaders and government officials on the most important developments in oil and gas, biofuels, the power sector, renewables, new technologies, and the policy debates shaping the future of energy in the Western Hemisphere and beyond. To subscribe or for more information, contact Erik Brand, publisher of the Advisor, at ebrand@thedialogue.org.


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Erik Brand

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