Latin America Advisor
Energy Advisor
A Publication of The Dialogue
What Effects Might Renewed Sanctions on Venezuela Have?
The U.S. State Department on Jan. 29 threatened to reinstate sanctions that it had eased in October on Venezuela’s oil industry. The sanctions relief will expire in mid-April unless the government and the opposition makes progress on “allowing all presidential candidates to compete in this year’s election.” The move followed the Venezuelan supreme court’s upholding of a 15-year ban on opposition presidential candidate María Corina Machado holding office. What would reimposing sanctions on Venezuela’s oil industry mean for the country? What are the potential implications for the oil companies currently pursuing business with Venezuela? How difficult would it be for oil companies to wind down operations in Venezuela by mid-April?
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Javier Corrales, Dwight W. Morrow 1895 Professor of Political Science at Amherst College: “The return of sanctions will hurt the Venezuelan government more than it will hurt foreign oil companies. The companies will survive. Most likely, companies have made or are making preparations for an eventual disruption. The government, in contrast, is likely to be hurt more because it depends heavily on extractivism. The return of sanctions is thus likely to generate a recession. That said, it seems that Maduro has concluded that he prefers an economic contraction than an electoral showdown with Machado. The key lesson since 2018 is that…”
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About the Energy Advisor
A sister publication of the Inter-American Dialogue’s daily Latin America Advisor, the weekly Energy Advisor captures fresh analysis from business leaders and government officials on the most important developments in oil and gas, biofuels, the power sector, renewables, new technologies, and the policy debates shaping the future of energy in the Western Hemisphere and beyond. To subscribe or for more information, contact Gene Kuleta, editor of the Advisor, at gkuleta@thedialogue.org.
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