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Is Brazil’s Petrobras Investing Money in the Right Areas?

Brazilian state oil company Petrobras last month unveiled its strategic investment plan for the coming five years. // File Photo: Petrobras.

Brazilian state oil company Petrobras announced in a Nov. 23 filing that it plans to spend $102 billion between 2024 and 2028. The investment plan is 31 percent higher than its $78 billion in spending in its previous five-year plan, and more than 70 percent of the spending in the new budget is earmarked for oil exploration and production. What are the most important parts of Petrobras’ new budget? Is the company making the right investments? How much political influence is the government of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva exerting over the company?

Cleveland M. Jones, professor and researcher at the National Institute of Oil and Gas at the State University of Rio de Janeiro: “Despite pressure from the Lula government for a greater emphasis on projects that generate more social benefits (that is, jobs), years of attempts to politically influence its business decisions, especially during the Bolsonaro administration, have taught Petrobras how to weather political pressures while providing some measure of appeasement. Thus, while the new 2024-2028 strategic plan does significantly increase the budget for its core businesses (exploration, production and downstream), it also allocates $11.5 billion to what it calls low carbon energy in a clear attempt to please proponents of a faster diversification away from its fossil fuel base and toward businesses perceived to provide more social benefits. Considering that Petrobras derives exceptional profitability from its main offshore assets, especially…”

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About the Energy Advisor

A sister publication of the Inter-American Dialogue’s daily Latin America Advisor, the weekly Energy Advisor captures fresh analysis from business leaders and government officials on the most important developments in oil and gas, biofuels, the power sector, renewables, new technologies, and the policy debates shaping the future of energy in the Western Hemisphere and beyond. To subscribe or for more information, contact Gene Kuleta, editor of the Advisor, at gkuleta@thedialogue.org.


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Gene Kuleta

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P. 202.463.2920
E. gkuleta@thedialogue.org

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