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How Well Is Guyana Managing Growth of its Oil Sector?

Guyana could become the world’s fourth-largest global offshore oil producer by 2036, according to a recent report. The Liza Unity floating, production, storage and offloading vessel is pictured off the country’s coast. // File Photo: ExxonMobil.

Guyana’s government revenue from domestic oil and gas production is on track to break the $1 billion mark this year and accelerate to $7.5 billion annually in 2030, according to research that Rystad Energy released in July. Guyana is likely to become a global leader in oil and gas output in the coming years, and by 2036 could be the fourth-largest global offshore oil producer, leapfrogging the United States, Mexico and Norway, the firm said. Has Guyana put in place institutions and policies necessary to manage its energy sector well? Does it have the capacity to curb corruption and oversee state revenues effectively, problems that have plagued some other oil-producing countries? How should Guyana go about both benefiting from its natural resources while playing a constructive role in the global energy transition to cleaner fuels?

Riyad Insanally, senior fellow at the Caribbean Initiative of the Atlantic Council’s Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center and former ambassador of Guyana to the United States: “Record GDP growth projected at 56 percent in 2022 accounts for much government optimism. According to Finance Minister Ashni Singh, in his mid-year economic report to Parliament on Aug. 29, the government ‘has embarked on a period of rapid transformation and … has laid out a master plan for the rapid development and transformation of Guyana.’ The ‘master plan’ appears to be based on the deliverables promised in the ruling PPP/C’s 2020 elections manifesto. Non-oil growth at 9.6 percent is encouraging and points to an awareness of the need to guard against the resource curse. Much work remains to be done, however, to put in place the…”

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About the Energy Advisor

A sister publication of the Inter-American Dialogue’s daily Latin America Advisor, the weekly Energy Advisor captures fresh analysis from business leaders and government officials on the most important developments in oil and gas, biofuels, the power sector, renewables, new technologies, and the policy debates shaping the future of energy in the Western Hemisphere and beyond. To subscribe or for more information, contact Erik Brand, publisher of the Advisor, at ebrand@thedialogue.org.


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