Latin America Advisor

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Is Nationalizing Lithium a Good Move for Mexico?

Mexico’s Congress on April 19 approved President Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s mining reform bill to nationalize Mexico’s lithium reserves. The construction of a road leading to the Sonora lithium mine is pictured. // File Photo: Bacanora Lithium.

Mexico’s Senate on April 19 approved mining reform legislation that gives the state full control over lithium reserves. The lower chamber passed the legislation a day earlier, a move that happened just after lawmakers rejected President Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s electricity market reforms. What effects will the nationalization of the sector have on its development, and how much investment would be needed to get the sector up and running? Is Mexico likely to partner with private-sector players to help commercialize lithium? How big is the potential for Mexico’s lithium sector, and what are the best strategies for making the most of it for the benefit of Mexico’s citizens?

William Tahil, research director at Meridian International Research: “Mexico has nationalized its nascent lithium industry just four years after a Canadian-Chinese mining company first broke ground. It is estimated that Mexico’s Sonora mine contains reserves of 4.5 million tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE). Mining firm Bacanora Lithium estimates that the mine has a 19-year lifespan, with an average annual production of 240,000 tons of LCE. The initial production target of 17,500 tons for the year 2023 is projected to require an investment of $420 million. Globally, lithium carbonate prices have skyrocketed from a low of less than $6,000 per ton in 2020 to nearly $80,000 per ton today—and the price is expected to go even higher. Such a price is unsustainable and is likely to come down in the future. It will nonetheless stimulate faster uptake of sodium ion batteries and other alternatives. Bacanora Lithium is now wholly owned by the largest lithium producer in the world—the Chinese company Ganfeng. China has been determined to…”

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A sister publication of the Inter-American Dialogue’s daily Latin America Advisor, the weekly Energy Advisor captures fresh analysis from business leaders and government officials on the most important developments in oil and gas, biofuels, the power sector, renewables, new technologies, and the policy debates shaping the future of energy in the Western Hemisphere and beyond. To subscribe or for more information, contact Erik Brand, publisher of the Advisor, at ebrand@thedialogue.org.


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