Latin America Advisor

Energy Advisor

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Can Petrobras Find a Balance Between Profits and Politics?

José Mauro Coelho, a high-level official in Brazil’s Ministry of Mines and Energy, has taken the helm at the state-run oil company Petrobras. // File Photo: Brazilian Government.

The board of Brazil’s Petrobras on April 14 named José Mauro Coelho as the state oil company’s chief executive officer. Coelho succeeds Joaquim Silva e Luna, whom Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro dismissed in late March, a move that led to a dramatic few weeks that saw other nominees for CEO and board chair decline the roles. How did Coelho emerge as the new CEO, and what does he bring to the position? How have markets reacted to his taking over the state oil company? Will Coelho reinstate controls of gasoline and diesel prices—as Bolsonaro wants—or will he let the market determine fuel prices? What reasons led Bolsonaro to fire Silva e Luna?

Allison Fedirka, director of analysis at the consultancy firm Geopolitical Futures: “Petrobras finds itself at the intersection of economic and political crises that strike at the core of the company’s mandate to both pursue profitability and serve the public interest. On the one hand, the company needs to maintain prices at international parity to sell fuel without assuming losses. On the other, the higher fuel prices put heavy burdens on consumers, dampen economic activity and create sociopolitical strife. In fact, political motivations, namely the need to show opposition to high fuel prices, drove Bolsonaro to dismiss former Petrobras CEO Joaquim Silva e Luna. Global energy markets are in crisis. They face an obscene amount of volatility and uncertainty, and will continue to do so for the foreseeable future. Navigating this storm requires immense expertise and, as a technocrat with extensive subject-matter proficiency, new chief executive José Mauro Coelho has the necessary skill set to head the state oil firm given…”

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About the Energy Advisor

A sister publication of the Inter-American Dialogue’s daily Latin America Advisor, the weekly Energy Advisor captures fresh analysis from business leaders and government officials on the most important developments in oil and gas, biofuels, the power sector, renewables, new technologies, and the policy debates shaping the future of energy in the Western Hemisphere and beyond. To subscribe or for more information, contact Erik Brand, publisher of the Advisor, at ebrand@thedialogue.org.


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Erik Brand

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