Analysis

Can Central America Break the Cycle of Drugs, Corruption and Gang War?

The roots of Central America’s challenges run deep, and the Trump Administration’s policies seem unlikely to help Guatemala, El Salvador, and Honduras make significant progress.

Michael Shifter, Ben Raderstorf, Kaitlin Lavinder

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ The Cipher Brief

El populismo no pasa sin dejar huellas

Hay una tentación populista permanente nacida de injusticias acumuladas, crónicas debilidades institucionales y canonjías nacidas al amparo del poder.

Kevin Casas-Zamora

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Clarín

Defeat at the OAS Meeting & US Influence in the Americas

Defeat at the OAS meeting was the first concrete setback for US interests as a result of the Trump Administration’s apparent ambivalence about defending democratic values.

Michael Camilleri

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Latin America Goes Global

The United States Can’t Go It Alone in Venezuela

The Trump administration’s desire for meaningful action towards Venezuela is understandable, but it risks learning the wrong lessons from recent failures.

Michael Camilleri, David McKean

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Foreign Policy

Venezuela After the Constituent Assembly

The constituyente could set the stage for the Maduro government to consolidate its power, criminalize the opposition, and usher in a new and even darker phase in Venezuela’s crisis.

Michael Shifter, Ben Raderstorf

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Foreign Affairs

Fin de la democracia en Venezuela

¿Cuándo y cómo saldrá Venezuela de esta crisis interminable? No hay buenas opciones. Es urgente pensar instrumentos para que la comunidad internacional, una oposición unida con un liderazgo y estrategia claros, y miembros del régimen que saben que este experimento está agotado, puedan trabajar juntos para poner fin a esta tragedia en nuestro hemisferio.

Michael Shifter

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ La Tercera

Trump’s Comment on Venezuela Makes a Bad Situation Worse

No one should be worried about American military action anywhere in Latin America. The notion is risible. But President Trump’s cavalier remark last week referring to a “possible military option” to deal with the increasingly dictatorial regime led by President Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela has real consequences.

Michael Shifter

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ The New York Times

Beneath the Violence: How Insecurity Shapes Daily Life and Emigration in Central America

New research from the Inter-American Dialogue and the Latin American Public Opinion Project (LAPOP) shows how crime avoidance influences everyday behaviors and has significant consequences for education, economic opportunity, development, and the rule of law—and help explain why intentions to migrate have risen sharply in every Central American country.

Ben Raderstorf, Michael Camilleri, Carole J. Wilson, Elizabeth J. Zechmeister

Reports ˙ ˙ Download Report

Why Is Venezuela Included in Trump’s Travel Ban?

President Trump’s sanctions strategy against Venezuela remains committed but ineffectual, and banning a smallish band of regime loyalists from traveling to the United States will do little to change that.

Michael Camilleri, Ben Raderstorf

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ The New York Times

Alexander Kunze / Unsplash

The Deterioration of Bilateral Relations with Cuba

Ultimately it is the Cuban government itself that will determine whether Cubans’ hopes and ambitions are met. The current deterioration in diplomatic relations is likely to strengthen those in both the United States and Cuba who favor the familiar comfort of a static Cold War antagonism over the rising expectations generated by a new US-Cuba dynamic.

Michael Camilleri

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Cuba Posible

Democracy in the Digital Age

A report on freedom of expression in the Americas and Europe’s ‘right to be forgotten’. 

Catalina Botero, Michael Camilleri, Carlos Cortés

Reports ˙ ˙ Download Report

Latin America’s Presidential Elections: Are Mexico, Brazil and Colombia Ready for Anti-Establishment Candidates?

Next year, critical elections in Latin America’s three most populous countries—Colombia, Mexico and Brazil—are likely to reveal a distemper stemming from citizen disgust with a mix of corruption scandals, mediocre economies, unremitting violence and a largely discredited political class. All three presidential contests are wide open and ripe for anti-establishment challengers.

Michael Shifter

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Newsweek

The Election Crisis in Honduras

For many Hondurans, the current scene is all too familiar: it is a possible repeat of the turmoil surrounding the 2009 coup d’état, and a tragic continuation of a progressive loss of credibility in its electoral institutions.

Michael Shifter

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Foreign Affairs

Sobre los monopolios éticos

Uno de los aspectos menos estudiados del ascenso de las opciones políticas de izquierda en América Latina durante la última década y media –hoy más bien en retirada—tiene que ver con la curiosa simbiosis discursiva que precedió a su llegada al poder.

Kevin Casas-Zamora

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Clarín