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Engagement or Estrangement: What next for US-Cuban relations?

On November 10, the Inter-American Dialogue hosted a debate about the future of US-Cuba relations featuring Emily Mendrala, Michael Bustamante, and Jorge I. Dominguez, with Michael Camilleri moderating the discussion.

Event Summaries ˙

Video

Las Americas a examen: Shifter sobre China en Latam, TPP, TCLAN, Cuba, Colombia

En esta conversación con la Fundación Global para la Democracia, Michael Shifter discutió temas de actualidad e importancia para Latinoamérica: el papel de China en la región, la posición de Estados Unidos en el mundo después de su retiro del TPP, las renegociaciones del TLCAN, relaciones bilaterales entre Estados Unidos y Cuba, desigualdad y violencia, y la relación entre EEUU y Colombia.

Michael Shifter

Interviews ˙ ˙ Fundación Global para la Democracia

Engagement or Estrangement: What next for US-Cuban relations?

Three years have passed since presidents Obama and Castro announced their plans for a historic shift in US-Cuban relations—from hostility and isolation to open engagement. But from its outset, the Trump Administration has slowed the US opening toward Cuba. In recent months, revelations of a mysterious malady of still unknown…

Michael Camilleri, Emily Mendrala

Alexander Kunze / Unsplash

The Deterioration of Bilateral Relations with Cuba

Ultimately it is the Cuban government itself that will determine whether Cubans’ hopes and ambitions are met. The current deterioration in diplomatic relations is likely to strengthen those in both the United States and Cuba who favor the familiar comfort of a static Cold War antagonism over the rising expectations generated by a new US-Cuba dynamic.

Michael Camilleri

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Cuba Posible

Who or What Is Behind the ‘Sonic Attacks’ in Cuba?

The U.S. State Department in early October expelled 15 Cuban diplomats in protest of what it said was Cuba’s failure to protect American envoys in Havana from a series of mysterious attacks that caused hearing loss and other ailments. What do the decisions to expel and withdraw diplomatic staff indicate about the future of U.S.-Cuban relations?

Daniel P. Erikson, Vicki Huddleston

Latin America Advisor ˙

Video

US Pulls Embassy Staff from Cuba after ‘Sonic Attacks’

A recent series of attacks on American personnel in Cuba has left officials in both countries confused. As investigations into the origins of the mysterious symptoms that have affected 21 members of the U.S. intelligence and diplomatic corps continue, there have already been implications for relations between the two countries. Last week, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson announced that about half of the embassy’s staff would be recalled. In an interview with BBC, Michael Shifter discussed the attacks and the effect they may have on U.S.-Cuba relations moving forward.

Michael Shifter

Interviews ˙ ˙ BBC World News

What Is the Impact of Trump’s Policy Shift on Cuba?

U.S. President Donald Trump on Friday announced a rollback of some parts of former President Barack Obama’s thaw with Cuba by expressly prohibiting tourist travel to the island, restating the importance of the U.S. embargo with Cuba and banning Americans from conducting financial transactions with companies under the control of Cuba’s military. What is the significance of the changes for Americans and for U.S. businesses?

Latin America Advisor ˙

Giro sobre Cuba ‘es vergonzoso para Estados Unidos’: Michael Shifter

Michael Shifter, presidente de Diálogo Interamericano, considera desafortunado el cambio de política del presidente estadounidense, Donald Trump, hacia Cuba, aunque le parece positivo que las relaciones entre los dos países se mantengan.

Michael Shifter

Interviews ˙ ˙ El Tiempo

El presupuesto de Trump, la política hacia Cuba, y el futuro de Venezuela

En esta entrevista radiofónica con Luis Montes para WLIE 540 AM, Michael Shifter analiza el presupuesto del gobierno de Trump y su impacto en la región, lo que podemos anticipar sobre las políticas de Estados Unidos hacia Cuba, y el rol de distintos actores en la crisis de Venezuela.

Michael Shifter

Interviews ˙ ˙ WLIE 540 AM

Do Venezuela’s Problems Spell Big Trouble for Cuba?

Since late President Hugo Chávez took power in Venezuela in 1999, the Andean nation and Cuba have had close ties. Those ties have included Venezuela sending oil to Cuba on preferential terms and Cuba sending doctors and other professionals to Venezuela. Venezuela, however, is now beset by political and economic crisis, including skyrocketing inflation, shortages of food and basic goods, and recent deadly protests. In which ways does Cuba still rely on Venezuela, and how important is that support to the island nation?

Latin America Advisor ˙

Private Conversation with Cuba Posible

On Friday, March 3rd, the Dialogue welcomed Director and Deputy Director of Cuba Posible, Roberto Veiga and Lenier Gonzalez, and a small group of Latin America policy experts for a discussion on social and political trends in Cuba. The discussion focused on upcoming leadership dynamics in Cuba and the role of young people in the future of the island.

Event Summaries ˙

OAS - OEA / Flickr / CC BY-NC-ND 2.0

Almagro’s Bold and Risky Cuba Move

By choosing to accept the Oswaldo Payá award in Cuba, the OAS Secretary General has taken a characteristically brave gambit.

Michael Shifter, Ben Raderstorf

How Will Cuban Migration Change in the Years Ahead?

The White House on Jan. 12 ended the so-called “Wet Foot, Dry Foot” policy, which for two decades had automatically allowed Cubans who reach dry land in the United States to stay. Then-U.S. President Barack Obama’s administration announced the end of the policy, which Cuba’s government had long opposed, just eight days before Obama left office. How will the change affect Cuban migration patterns throughout the region?

Latin America Advisor ˙

Uneasy Cuba

This is an anxious, unsettled moment for Cuba. Its economy is faltering badly and could face a prolonged crisis. The nation’s leadership is on the verge of a critical turning point following the recent death of Fidel Castro and the likely retirement early next year of Raul Castro—who together have ruled the island with an iron hand for nearly 60 years.

Peter Hakim