Analysis

Photo of Oppenheimer and Rebecca Bill Chavez

Chavez: “El momento no es casualidad”

En una entrevista con CNN, Rebecca Bill Chavez, Presidenta y CEO del Diálogo Interamericano, analizó las implicaciones geopolíticas del conflicto territorial entre Venezuela y Guyana, y la posibilidad de que esta disputa escale.

Rebecca Bill Chavez

Interviews ˙ ˙ CNN

Photo of Nicolás Maduro

Will Venezuela’s Maduro Order an Invasion of Guyana?

A Latin America Advisor Q&A featuring experts’ views on the border conflict between Venezuela and Guyana over the Essequibo region.

Michael Shifter, Andrea Colombo, Riyad Insanally, Gustavo Roosen, Julia Buxton, Patrick Duddy, Barry R. McCaffrey

Latin America Advisor ˙

Portrait of Nicolás Maduro

Can Justice for Maduro Bring Peace to Venezuela?

On Tuesday, Secretary of State Michael R. Pompeo unveiled a detailed framework for restoring democracy in Venezuela that was immediately rejected by the man who would need to step aside for such a transition to occur: Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro.

Michael Camilleri

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Los Angeles Times

Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro last month created a commission with the aim of revamping the country’s oil industry, which he said was in a state of emergency. // File Photo: Venezuelan Government.

What Does Maduro’s ‘Energy Emergency’ Mean for Venezuela?

How much will the latest sanctions hurt Venezuela’s oil production and exports, and will the move ultimately result in significantly more pressure on Maduro to step down?

Francisco J. Monaldi, Massimiliano Ballotta, Javier Coronado, Arturo H. Banegas Masiá, Richard N. Sawaya

Energy Advisor ˙

PDVSA gas station in Venezuela

Can Venezuela’s Oil Industry Ever Recover?

Once a major OPEC producer, Venezuela has witnessed a spectacular fall in oil production over the last 20 years under Hugo Chávez and Nicolás Maduro. In 2019, U.S. sanctions hastened this decline. Will Venezuela ever reclaim its place as a top oil producer?

Lisa Viscidi, Nate Graham

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Houston Chronicle

Manuel Orozco being interviewed by VOA Video

Increased Tensions in Latin America

Manuel Orozco was interviewed on February 14, 2020 by Gonzalo Abarca from VOA Noticias: Foro Interamericano to discuss the H2A visas for Guatamalans, Nayib Bukele’s display of military force and Juan Guaidó’s international tour.

Manuel Orozco, Gonzalo Abarca

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ VOA Noticias Foro Interamericano

Michael Shifter, Miguel Pizarro, Laura Chinchilla, and Michael Camilleri on the panel Video

Next Stop Caracas: Venezuela’s Uncertain Path Forward

On February 18, 2020, the Inter-American Dialogue hosted “Next Stop Caracas: Venezuela’s Uncertain Path Forward,”to discuss the future of Venezuela, and steps that should be taken by the international community to support a democratic transition.

Catharine Christie

Event Summaries ˙

The Long Road Report Cover

The Long Road: Supporting Venezuelans through an Uncertain Future

A new report by the Venezuela Working Group, an initiative of the Inter-American Dialogue’s Peter D. Bell Rule of Law Program, proposes a framework for future action based on a realistic assessment of Venezuela’s current trajectory.

Michael Camilleri

Reports ˙ ˙ Download Report

Venezuelan flag Video

Can Western companies save Venezuela’s oil sector? Do they want to?

Lisa Viscidi and Nate Graham spoke with S&P Global Platts about the findings of a new report which argues that Western oil companies will be needed to revive Venezuela’s oil sector. They discuss the obstacles that could affect whether these firms increase production in the country under a new government, including US sanctions uncertainty, high taxes, and a shortage of workers and working infrastructure.

Lisa Viscidi, Nate Graham, Brian Scheid, Meghan Gordon

Interviews ˙ ˙ S&P Global Platts

Reviving Venezuela’s Oil Sector: The Role of Western Oil Majors

With Venezuela’s state oil company in disarray, international oil companies will be the key to tapping the country’s oil resources. The Inter-American Dialogue interviewed eight large Western oil companies about the conditions that will determine how rapidly, and to what degree, they start or ramp up operations in Venezuela following a political transition.

Lisa Viscidi, Nate Graham

Reports ˙ ˙ Download Report

Escenario de Bolivia no es repetible en Venezuela, según analistas

La convocatoria a una jornada de protestas permanentes hecha por el presidente designado de Venezuela, Juan Guaidó, difícilmente podría resultar en un escenario similar al de Bolivia, ya que existen diferencias importantes entre ambos países, según analistas que observan con detenimiento la región. Michael Camilleri, Director del Programa de Estado…

Michael Camilleri, Joel Gutiérrez

Interviews ˙ ˙ VOA

Plan B in Venezuela

The United States must now reassess its approach. Washington shouldn’t give up its sustained focus on the crisis or its stated objective of restoring democracy and constitutional order, but it does have to accept the facts on the ground and recognize that maximalist demands are unhelpful.

Michael Camilleri

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Foreign Affairs