Remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean grew over 8% in 2017, according to new research by the Inter-American Dialogue

For Immediate Distribution
January 25, 2018 9:00 a.m.
Contact: Laura Porras
202-463-2935
press@thedialogue.org

Washington, DC – Remittances to seventeen countries in Latin America and the Caribbean in 2017 grew 8.5% to over $75 billion. Countries from Central America and the Caribbean, which handle nearly half of all flows, experienced over 10% growth in flows.
 
The factors behind this growth are varied, including more migration, more migrants sending more often, and/or more dollars sent per transaction. Migration from the region to the US represents the biggest flows, while migration to Chile, Costa Rica and Spain also plays a role. With regards to transactions, Guatemala, El Salvador, and Honduran migrants increased the amounts they sent during 2017. Honduras also saw increases in the frequency of sending. 

Other factors may also play a role in the growth, such as fluctuations in exchange rates, inflationary increases, spikes in demand for foreign labor, and externalities such as political events in the home and host countries.  

Manuel Orozco, author of the report and Director of the Migration, Remittances and Development program at the DC-based think tank, highlighted the economic importance of remittances. He noted that “in some countries, like El Salvador, Honduras or Guatemala, remittances may be responsible for half of overall economic growth. Their increase in 2017 amounted to 50% – 78% of total growth in these three countries.” This means that the overall economic growth experienced by these countries can be attributed mostly to growth in remittances. 

These flows continue to have substantial economic impacts in many Latin American and Caribbean countries, according to the report released this Thursday, January 25 by the Inter-American Dialogue. For ten countries, remittances represent over 5% of their GDP, and in the case of Haiti an impressive 34%. These countries also have a labor force that is mostly working in agriculture or the informal economy, activities that yield limited economic opportunities to its citizens.

The political landscape in the United States may have increasingly negative impacts on migrants and remittance recipient countries. These impacts could be substantial when analyzed under the scope of how dependent some countries are on remittances. For example, Salvadorans under Temporary Protected Status (TPS) contribute 12% of all transfers to El Salvador, and these volumes amount to 2% of the country’s GDP. If TPS holders are forcibly returned, the impact will be very negative for the Salvadoran economy, not to mention the challenges related to integrating those who are returning. Even those Salvadorans that decide to stay in the United States undocumented following the end of TPS are likely send less, since TPS holders currently send more than their undocumented counterparts. Haiti faces a similar fate with the loss of status for 40,000 Haitians.

The Perspectives of Immigrants

Orozco also shared insights from a recent survey of Latin American and Caribbean immigrants living in the United States.

  • 55% believe that the current Trump administration may affect them through the deportation of people in their community, while 31% thinks they themselves may be deported
  • 59% believed that the current administration’s biggest impact on their jobs will be making it harder for them to get jobs
  • 22% said they migrated due to insecurity and violence in their home country
  • On average, migrants send money home 13 times a year
  • 64% of migrants say that in the event of a tax on remittances they would change their sending behavior. Of those, 41% would use informal services, and 26% would send less money

These problems are aggravated by the fact that these fears are shared among a large portion of the immigrant population, regardless of their legal status and of the factors that caused them to migrate.  

Table: Remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean, 2017 growth (US$,000,000)

Country

Remittance inflows

Percentage Growth

 

Remittances as Percentage of GDP

 

2015

2016

2017 est.

2016

mmmm2017

Bolivia

1,178

1,204

1,278

2%

6%

3.6%

Brazil

2,175

2,365

2,285

9%

-3%

0.1%

Colombia

4,635

4,859

5,579

5%

15%

1.9%

Costa Rica

517

515

530

0%

3%

0.1%

Dominican Republic

4,963

5,261

5,895

6%

12%

7.8%

Ecuador

2,378

2,602

2,721

9%

5%

2.8%

El Salvador

4,284

4,576

5,021*

7%

10%

18.3%

Guatemala

6,285

7,160

8,192*

14%

14%

11.5%

Haiti

2,195

2358.65

2,722*

7%

15%

33.6%

Honduras

3,651

3,847

4,331

5%

13%

19.5%

Jamaica

2,226

2,287

2,374

3%

4%

16.7%

Mexico

24,771

26,993

28,630

9%

6%

2.7%

Nicaragua

1,193

1,264

1,409

6%

11%

10.2%

Panama

473

426

442

-10%

4%

0.8%

Paraguay

461

547

582

19%

6%

2.0%

Peru

2,719

2,884

3,061

6%

6%

1.6%

Selected countries

64,106

69,149

75,052

7.87%

8.54%

1.9%

Source: Central banks data and INEC for Panama data. Est. are author’s estimates, except *: Central Bank data. Growth is 8.7% excluding Brazil. GDP calculations based on World Bank Data.

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