Analysis

Is the USMCA Deal Doomed If Congress Fails to Ratify It?

How likely is the U.S. Congress to approve USMCA this year, and what sorts of complications would pushing its ratification into 2020 bring? How are political dynamics affecting the deal’s passage? If the trade pact is delayed further, to what extent will North America’s manufacturers suffer?

Jim Kolbe, Arturo Sarukhan, Michelle DiGruttolo, Tamara Kay, Miyako Yerick

Latin America Advisor ˙

How Mexico and Canada saved NAFTA

At the end of the day, it was Mexico and Canada that won the hard-fought battle to preserve most of NAFTA, writes former Mexican president Ernesto Zedillo in The Washington Post.

Ernesto Zedillo

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ The Washington Post

Canadian, Mexican and U.S. officials signed amendments to the USMCA trade accord last week in Mexico City. // Photo: Mexican Government.

What Are the Most Important Changes to the USMCA?

How will the changes affect the three North American countries, and which sectors are set to gain or lose the most from them?

Andrés Rozental, Michelle DiGruttolo, Nicolás Mariscal, Andrew Rudman, Tamara Kay, Miyako Yerick, Carlo Dade, Kim Nolan García

Latin America Advisor ˙

The G20 in Buenos Aires Will Disappoint–But Not All Is Lost

In the annual meeting of the world’s largest economies, which starts on Friday in Argentina, it seemed that Latin America and its most pressing concerns – such as the crisis in Venezuela – would be the priorities. However, it is now clear that the current complex global dynamic will dominate.

Irene Estefanía, Ben Raderstorf

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ The New York Times Español

President Trump Visits with the Interim President of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela to the White House

Venezuela’s Crisis: Guaidó and the bet on realism

A year ago, the emergence of Guaidó brought some hope to Venezuela. He, and many others, then believed that international and national pressure would make the military turn from Maduro to Guaido, resulting in the regime’s fall. They were mistaken. They were guilty of a lack of realism. Today is a time for realism. It is also a time to be creative, open to new possibilities that have a chance, however remote, of ending the nightmare in our hemisphere.

Michael Shifter

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Clarín