Analysis

What Lies Ahead for Guyana’s New Oil and Gas Deposits?

In January, oil giants ExxonMobil and Hess announced they had drilled a deepwater exploration well that strongly suggests the seafloor beneath Guyana’s coastal waters holds one of the largest oil and natural-gas discoveries in recent years. What is the outlook for Guyana’s oil and gas sector, and what has changed since the announcement of the Liza discovery nearly two years ago?

Energy Advisor ˙

英国脱欧对拉美有何影响?

英国脱欧对拉美和加勒比地区有何影响?这项决定将如何改变已谈成的和谈判中的自由贸易协定?

Latin America Advisor ˙

How Will Trump Change U.S. Immigration Policy?

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump kicked off his candidacy a year and a half ago by condemning illegal immigration from Mexico to the United States. How likely is it that Trump will be able to achieve what he has promised with regard to Mexico and immigration policy during his campaign?

Latin America Advisor ˙

Is Ecuador’s Ruling Party Likely to Hold the Presidency?

Ecuador’s ruling party, the Alianza Pais, selected former Vice President Lenín Moreno as its candidate for the upcoming presidential election in February. Four months ahead of the election, how likely is it that voters will choose another Alianza Pais president, and who are the likeliest opposition figures to face him?

Latin America Advisor ˙

巴西能确保奥运会的安全吗?

“伊斯兰国”(ISIS)在网上发布了一些葡语宣传帖,明显地威胁即将召开的里约奥运会的公共安全。巴西和其他拉美国家是否准备好了应对国内的恐怖主义?拉美有哪些能共享全球信息、协调反恐战略的情报系统?

Latin America Advisor ˙

How Will Cuban Migration Change in the Years Ahead?

The White House on Jan. 12 ended the so-called “Wet Foot, Dry Foot” policy, which for two decades had automatically allowed Cubans who reach dry land in the United States to stay. Then-U.S. President Barack Obama’s administration announced the end of the policy, which Cuba’s government had long opposed, just eight days before Obama left office. How will the change affect Cuban migration patterns throughout the region?

Latin America Advisor ˙

Videgaray visto desde Washington

¿Por qué fue Videgaray designado como secretario de Relaciones Exteriores? ¿Qué tipo de relación tendrá él con la administración entrante de Trump?

Latin America Advisor ˙

What Will It Take to Win the Battle Against Corruption?

Recent years have brought unprecedented levels of attention to corruption in Latin America and the Caribbean, with heads of state in countries large and small removed from office amid allegations of bribery, self enrichment and mismanagement of public funds. However, advocates for increasing transparency and fighting corruption worry that superficial changes and isolated high-level prosecutions do not get to the deep and structural safeguards needed to tackle the problem in 2017 and beyond. Is the popular and political will to address graft and corruption waning?

Ben Raderstorf, Maria Velez de Berliner, Nicolás Mariscal, Laura Gaviria Halaby, José Antonio Muñoz

Latin America Advisor ˙

Is Macri Trying to Do Too Much, Too Soon in Argentina?

Argentine President Mauricio Macri’s government started negotiations Jan. 13 with creditors to end the country’s protracted dispute over repaying bondholders, which stems from Argentina’s massive 2001 default.

Claudio Loser, Mario Rapoport, Julio Darío Burdman

Latin America Advisor ˙

中拉能源伙伴关系会变吗?

美洲对话组织的中拉金融数据库显示,过去10年,中国向拉丁美洲的能源行业提供了702亿美元贷款。中国的经济前景和投资策略的变化将如何影响拉丁美洲的能源行业?全球油价走低将如何改变中国参与拉美和加勒比地区能源业的方式?中国的进一步投资会引起当地的动荡和阻挠吗?

Latin America Advisor ˙

Will Prison Riots in Brazil Lead to Justice Reforms?

Brazilian Justice Minister Alexandre de Moraes on Jan. 3 pledged to overhaul the country’s criminal justice system to address prison overcrowding in the wake of a prison riot in Amazonas state that left 56 dead, the largest riot of its kind in two decades. Within days, dozens more inmates were killed in prison riots in Roraima state, Manaus and Rio Grande do Norte state. What reforms are most needed for the country’s criminal justice system, and how should they be implemented?

Latin America Advisor ˙

Will the Colombian Peace Deal Win Voters’ Approval?

Colombia’s government and the FARC rebels on Wednesday announced they had reached final agreements on peace accords following nearly four years of talks in Havana. Before the accords can take effect, Colombian voters must approve them in a nationwide referendum, set for Oct. 2. A recent Ipsos Napoleon Franco poll said more than half of voters would reject the accords, but another poll by Invamer said two-thirds would approve them. What is behind the opposition to peace accords?

Maria Velez de Berliner, Barry R. McCaffrey, Virginia M. Bouvier

Latin America Advisor ˙

Why Have Argentina and the U.S. Teamed Up on Tax Evasion?

The United States will expedite the process of sharing tax information with Argentina in an effort to combat money laundering and address tax evasion through increased information sharing, U.S. Treasury Secretary Jacob Lew announced last month during a trip to Buenos Aires. Argentines are estimated to hold some $500 billion…

Claudio Loser, Miguel Kiguel, Eduardo Amadeo

Latin America Advisor ˙

What Does the Case Against Lula Mean for Rousseff’s Government?

Brazilian federal police on Friday detained former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for questioning and searched his properties as well as his institute in an operation that involved some 200 agents.

Peter Hakim, Joel Korn, Melvyn Levitsky

Latin America Advisor ˙