Analysis

President Trump Visits with the Interim President of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela to the White House

Venezuela’s Crisis: Guaidó and the bet on realism

A year ago, the emergence of Guaidó brought some hope to Venezuela. He, and many others, then believed that international and national pressure would make the military turn from Maduro to Guaido, resulting in the regime’s fall. They were mistaken. They were guilty of a lack of realism. Today is a time for realism. It is also a time to be creative, open to new possibilities that have a chance, however remote, of ending the nightmare in our hemisphere.

Michael Shifter

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Clarín

Canadian, Mexican and U.S. officials signed amendments to the USMCA trade accord last week in Mexico City. // Photo: Mexican Government.

What Are the Most Important Changes to the USMCA?

How will the changes affect the three North American countries, and which sectors are set to gain or lose the most from them?

Andrés Rozental, Michelle DiGruttolo, Nicolás Mariscal, Andrew Rudman, Tamara Kay, Miyako Yerick, Carlo Dade, Kim Nolan García

Latin America Advisor ˙

Is the USMCA Deal Doomed If Congress Fails to Ratify It?

How likely is the U.S. Congress to approve USMCA this year, and what sorts of complications would pushing its ratification into 2020 bring? How are political dynamics affecting the deal’s passage? If the trade pact is delayed further, to what extent will North America’s manufacturers suffer?

Jim Kolbe, Arturo Sarukhan, Michelle DiGruttolo, Tamara Kay, Miyako Yerick

Latin America Advisor ˙

En busca de una estrategia de inserción internacional para América Latina

Lo mejor que pueden hacer los actores políticos y sociales latinoamericanos es concebir una estrategia de inserción internacional en la que sus países sean actores y no simples receptores pasivos de oportunidades y amenazas generadas desde el exterior.

Michael Shifter, Bruno Binetti

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Revista Pensamiento Iberoamericano

The Chinese container ship CSCL Venus is pictured above. // File Photo: Buonasera via Creative Commons.

How Are Trade Tensions Affecting Supply Chains?

How are escalating U.S.-China trade tensions affecting global supply chains and the role of Latin American and Caribbean nations in them?

Andrew Rudman, Guillermo Malpica, Riley Walters, Fernando de Mateo

Latin America Advisor ˙

Photo: U.S. Government.

¿Aprobará el Congreso el USMCA este año?

¿Cuál es el camino más probable hacia la aprobación del USMCA?

Carla A. Hills, Arturo Sarukhan, Andrés Rozental, Pascale Siegel, Miyako Yerick, Christopher Sands

Latin America Advisor ˙

Photo: U.S. Government.

Is Congress Likely to Approve the USMCA This Year?

What is the outlook and most-likely timeline for advancing USMCA in the 116th Congress?

Carla A. Hills, Arturo Sarukhan, Andrés Rozental, Pascale Siegel, Miyako Yerick, Christopher Sands

Latin America Advisor ˙

31st Meeting of the Working Group on Latin America

On December 7, 2018, the Inter-American Dialogue’s Working Group on Latin America met for its 31st session. Dating back to 2001, the group is one of the longest-running and most successful initiatives at the Dialogue.

Irene Estefanía

Event Summaries ˙

USMCA and Latin American Energy Diplomacy Under a New US Congress

November’s midterm elections altered the balance of power in Washington, and the new Democratic majority in the House of Representatives, which will mean new chairs on key committees, will play an important role in shaping US energy diplomacy and energy markets in the Western Hemisphere. At an event co-hosted by the Inter-American Dialogue and the Institute of the Americas, panelists discussed how the new Congress will approach key issues affecting energy within the context of Latin America’s evolving role in US trade and foreign policy.

Nate Graham, Chris Kambhu

Event Summaries ˙

George H.W. Bush: Ambitious Agenda for the Americas

In Latin America, Bush will be most remembered for his trade initiatives. These were his most consequential and enduring contributions to Inter-American relations.

Peter Hakim

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Latinvex

The G20 in Buenos Aires Will Disappoint–But Not All Is Lost

In the annual meeting of the world’s largest economies, which starts on Friday in Argentina, it seemed that Latin America and its most pressing concerns – such as the crisis in Venezuela – would be the priorities. However, it is now clear that the current complex global dynamic will dominate.

Irene Estefanía, Ben Raderstorf

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ The New York Times Español

How Mexico and Canada saved NAFTA

At the end of the day, it was Mexico and Canada that won the hard-fought battle to preserve most of NAFTA, writes former Mexican president Ernesto Zedillo in The Washington Post.

Ernesto Zedillo

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ The Washington Post

Canadian Foreign Minister Chrystia Freeland, U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and Mexican Economy Minister Ildefonso Guajardo (L-R) spent more than a year negotiating the modernization of the trilateral trade deal. // File Photo: Mexican Government.

How Does the New USMCA Deal Affect the Energy Sector?

How does USMCA, the new NAFTA deal, affect the energy sector? What are the biggest changes? Will it boost investment and cooperation?

Larry B. Pascal, Nicolás Borda, Pedro Niembro, Murray Smith, Luis Miguel Labardini, Clifford Sosnow

Energy Advisor ˙

U.S. President Donald Trump announced the bilateral U.S.-Mexico trade deal on Aug. 27. // Photo: White House.

Does Mexico’s Deal With the U.S. Bode Well for NAFTA?

The United States and Mexico announced a bilateral deal to revise NAFTA, leaving the door open for Canada to join. What’s next?

Peter Hakim, Andrés Rozental, Carlo Dade, Julissa Reynoso, Rodolfo Herrera-Moro, Gary Hufbauer

Latin America Advisor ˙