Analysis

Venezuela on the Brink

Michael Camilleri discusses the many implications of Juan Guaidó’s rise to power in Venezuela.

Michael Camilleri

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ La Nación

Transition Interrupted?

A report analyzing the potential scenarios facing Venezuela at a critical juncture in its democratic development.

Michael Camilleri

Reports ˙ ˙ Download Report

Juan Guaidó’s Uprising Failed. What’s Next for Venezuela?

Venezuela’s stalemate will not last forever, but an immediate and easy return to democracy is highly unlikely. The quicker the opposition and its international supporters adapt their strategies to this hard reality, the sooner the country can begin to find a way out of this unprecedented crisis.

Michael Shifter, Bruno Binetti

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ New York Times

Trump’s Cuba Sanctions Are a Mistake

President Donald Trump’s decision last month to increase sanctions on Cuba represents a strategic error with serious long-term repercussions for U.S. national security.

Rebecca Bill Chavez

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Foreign Policy

photo of Nicolas Maduro during a meeting with Turkish Minister of Commerce

A Golden Bridge for the Maduro Government

As Venezuela’s presidential elections, scheduled for 2024, draw closer, the international community’s attention is primarily focused on how to use leverage to ensure minimal electoral conditions. US high-level officials have publicly said they would ease some of the economic and political sanctions imposed on the country in exchange for meaningful concessions by Nicolas Maduro’s government, and there is clearly an ongoing back channel between US and Venezuelan authorities along these lines. While this discussion is essential, it often overshadows a vital aspect of the conversation—the plan for what comes next. No transition of power is possible without a clear path forward after election day.

Tamara Taraciuk Broner

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Americas Quarterly

Panelists at the event on What's Next for the International Response to Venezuela Video

What’s Next for the International Response to Venezuela?

Amid Venezuela’s crisis and the upcoming 2024 presidential elections, a potential opportunity for a democratic transition may emerge. The escalating authoritarianism, human rights abuses, and dire humanitarian situation underscore the critical importance of addressing these challenges while also identifying opportunities for transition to occur.

Daniel Caballero, Trinidad Lorente

Event Summaries ˙

Foto de una manifestación en Nicaragua en 2019

The Urgent Need for Political Action in Nicaragua

La urgencia de realizar un cambio político en Nicaragua, como resultado de la presión externa y la recuperación del espacio cívico nacional, va más allá de sacar a la dictadura Ortega-Murillo del poder.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Havana Times

Panelists photo Venezuela Primaries event Video

Elections Series – The Future of Venezuela Post-Opposition Primaries

The Venezuelan opposition primaries saw a remarkable turnout, with over 2.3 million voters, resulting in María Corina Machado’s victory despite her disqualification by the regime. The Barbados Agreement and the lifting of US sanctions offer a potential breakthrough for establishing some electoral conditions. However, a transition of power cannot occur without a clear and coherent path forward beyond election day.

Daniel Caballero

Event Summaries ˙

Photo of podcast in the Room Video

Taraciuk Broner: “Venezuela has been in crisis for a long time, but it has not always made headlines”

Tamara Taraciuk Broner, director of the Rule of Law program, participated in the podcast “Where Did the Migrant Crisis Come From?” on In the Room with Peter Bergen. She discussed the context and causes of the Venezuelan humanitarian and migration crisis, as well as the use of the lifting of US sanctions as leverage for fair elections.

Tamara Taraciuk Broner

Podcasts ˙ ˙ In the Room with Peter Bergen