Analysis

The Long Road Report Cover

The Long Road: Supporting Venezuelans through an Uncertain Future

A new report by the Venezuela Working Group, an initiative of the Inter-American Dialogue’s Peter D. Bell Rule of Law Program, proposes a framework for future action based on a realistic assessment of Venezuela’s current trajectory.

Michael Camilleri

Reports ˙ ˙ Download Report

President Trump Visits with the Interim President of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela to the White House

Venezuela’s Crisis: Guaidó and the bet on realism

A year ago, the emergence of Guaidó brought some hope to Venezuela. He, and many others, then believed that international and national pressure would make the military turn from Maduro to Guaido, resulting in the regime’s fall. They were mistaken. They were guilty of a lack of realism. Today is a time for realism. It is also a time to be creative, open to new possibilities that have a chance, however remote, of ending the nightmare in our hemisphere.

Michael Shifter

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Clarín

Anticorruption, Transparency and Integrity in the Americas

The Dialogue’s Peter D. Bell Rule of Law Program and the Inter-American Development Bank hosted a series of events focused on addressing issues of corruption in the Americas to identify lessons learned from recent corruption cases, analyze continued challenges, and outline the agenda for future reform.

Peter D. Bell Rule of Law Program, Inter-American Development Bank

Reports ˙ ˙ Download Report

Which Fernández Will Be Left Standing in Argentina?

In a country used to having strong leaders, Alberto Fernández’s dependency on his still-popular but polarizing vice president could weaken him politically. Sooner or later, this contradiction will need to be resolved, and one of the two Fernandezes will be left standing.

Bruno Binetti

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ World Politics Review

When ‘dialogue’ becomes a dirty word. The case of Venezuela.

The exercise and practice of dialogue can be traced back thousands of years, perhaps even to the beginning of civilization. In more recent times there has been a surge of interest in dialogue, with the use of the term and its application proliferating within the disciplines of peacebuilding and development,…

Michael Camilleri, Riva Kantowitz

Reports ˙ ˙ Dag Hammarskjöld Foundation

Argentina’s Recurring Nightmare

Each subsequent crisis makes it more difficult for the government to reform the economy without provoking a major social disruption. To escape its never-ending cycle of crises, however, the next president will have to do more than reform the economy; he will have to win back the trust of voters who have grown to expect the worst from their leaders.

Bruno Binetti

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Foreign Affairs

Video

Media and Democracy in the Americas II

A summary of the conclusions and recommendations from the Inter-American Dialogue and Fundamedios USA’s second annual Media and Democracy in the Americas conference.

Peter D. Bell Rule of Law Program, Fundamedios USA

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How Evo Morales running again — and again — undermines Bolivia’s democracy

On Oct. 20, Bolivian President Evo Morales will go to the polls in search of a fourth term. Victory would extend his time in office to almost two decades, and — depending on how the election goes — could place democracy itself at risk in the Andean country.

Ben Raderstorf, Michael Camilleri

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ The Washington Post

Plan B in Venezuela

The United States must now reassess its approach. Washington shouldn’t give up its sustained focus on the crisis or its stated objective of restoring democracy and constitutional order, but it does have to accept the facts on the ground and recognize that maximalist demands are unhelpful.

Michael Camilleri

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Foreign Affairs

Geopolítica de la crisis venezolana

Ante el bloqueo doméstico y externo de la crisis en Venezuela, Europa podría desempeñar un papel crucial gracias a su relativa distancia del conflicto y buena imagen en la región.

Bruno Binetti

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Política Exterior

Jair Bolsonaro, A View from the North

Rather than building a robust partnership with the United States, Bolsonaro’s current trajectory may end up with Brazil facing a largely indifferent Washington. Yes, Trump did declare this week that he wants a free trade deal with Brazil, but even if Brazil can find a way around Mercosur’s rules and begin to pursue a bilateral accord, negotiations will take several years to complete. A successful outcome is not out of the question, but it will require to thoroughly overhaul its highly protected economy, which is among the most insular in the world.

Peter Hakim

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Veja

A Critical Moment in Venezuela

In January, the surprising emergence of Juan Guaidó as the opposition’s leader was followed by months of frenetic activity on the Venezuela crisis. Today there seems to be a pause in the high drama. It is in this context that former Chilean president, Michelle Bachelet, now the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, is making a three-day visit to Venezuela. Although it is hard to predict the final result of the visit, there is little doubt that both sides of this tragic and protracted stalemate will seek to take maximum political advantage.

Michael Shifter

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ La Tercera