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Will Bolsonaro’s Legal Troubles Energize His Base?

A Latin America Advisor Q&A featuring experts’ views on the investigation into the former Brazilian president’s alleged attempt to overturn his country’s 2022 elections.

Joel Korn

Latin America Advisor ˙

photo of Michael Shifter

Shifter: “Posição de Bolsonaro complicará relações entre Brasil e EUA”

Michael Shifter, presidente do Inter-American Dialogue, falou com Valor sobre a omissão do presidente Jair Bolsonaro em criticar a Rússia ou condenar a guerra na Ucrânia. Durante a entrevista cobriram-se temas como a relação bilateral entre Rusia e Brasil, o impacto da China na região e a posição dos governos latinoamericanos respeito ao conflito Ucraniano. 

Michael Shifter

Interviews ˙ ˙ Valor

Michael Shifter

Shifter: “Sin oposición, Bolsonaro tiene perspectivas de ser reelegido en 2022”

Entre cuestionamientos a su gestión, el presidente mexicano Andrés Manuel López Obrador y el mandatario brasileño Jair Bolsonaro cumplen dos años en el poder. Michael Shifter, presidente del Diálogo Interamericano, conversó con El Mercurio sobre el liderazgo populista de estos dos líderes y la evaluación de sus proyectos políticos.

Michael Shifter

Interviews ˙ ˙ El Mercurio

Has Bolsonaro’s First Year Been a Success or Failure?

Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro on Wednesday completed his first year in office, one marked by international controversy over the Amazon, a slight economic recovery, political spats within his own party, as well as some significant legislative wins, including comprehensive pension reform. How well has Bolsonaro fared in his first year as Brazil’s president, and has he met voters’ expectations of change? How well is his government handling economic matters, and what should it focus on in the year ahead? To what extent has Bolsonaro’s confrontational political style helped or hindered his effectiveness in working with Brazil’s Congress?

Peter Hakim

Latin America Advisor ˙

Irene Estefanía González | Inter-American Dialogue Video

New Leadership in Argentina & Bolsonaro’s First Year

On December 10, 2019, the Inter-American Dialogue, hosted an event titled “New Leadership in Argentina & Bolsonaro’s First Year.” The panelists were Matias Spektor, Rut Diamint, Bruno Binetti, and Monica de Bolle. Rafael Mathus, correspondent for La Nación, moderated the event.

Event Summaries ˙

New Leadership in Argentina & Bolsonaro’s First Year

How will the government of Alberto Fernández deal with Argentina’s serious economic crisis and the IMF? Will the new administration be able to work with the Congress to enact important legislation? What is the assessment of Bolsonaro’s government so far in jumpstarting the economy, reducing crime, and keeping up the anti-corruption fight? Are continued reforms likely? What accounts for the drop in Bolsonaro’s popularity?

Matias Spektor, Rut Diamint, Bruno Binetti, Monica de Bolle, Rafael Mathus

Video

Amazon Fires: Bolsonaro Says Brazil Cannot Fight Them

As wildfires rage in the Brazilian portion of the Amazon rainforest, Brazil’s president Jair Bolsonaro finds himself under increased international scrutiny. Program Director Lisa Viscidi comments for BBC World News on Bolsonaro’s policies toward the Amazon.

Lisa Viscidi

Interviews ˙ ˙ BBC World News

Jair Bolsonaro, A View from the North

Rather than building a robust partnership with the United States, Bolsonaro’s current trajectory may end up with Brazil facing a largely indifferent Washington. Yes, Trump did declare this week that he wants a free trade deal with Brazil, but even if Brazil can find a way around Mercosur’s rules and begin to pursue a bilateral accord, negotiations will take several years to complete. A successful outcome is not out of the question, but it will require to thoroughly overhaul its highly protected economy, which is among the most insular in the world.

Peter Hakim

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Veja

Brazil’s Energy Sector Needs Reform. Is Bolsonaro Up to the Task?

Revitalizing Brazil’s energy sector will be key to Jair Bolsonaro’s success as president – but so far, he’s had mixed results when it comes to getting reforms through Congress. Unless Bolsonaro learns to work with legislators and ease turbulence within his government, Brazil’s missing energy reforms will continue to threaten its economy, and its politics.

Lisa Viscidi, Nate Graham

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Americas Quarterly

Remaking US-Brazilian Relations: The Odyssey of Trump and Bolsonaro

It is hard to imagine exactly what kind of deal Bolsonaro and Trump, both anomalous, unconventional leaders, drawn to one another mainly by temperament and ideology, could strike with another. Could they really end up accomplishing what previous governments in both countries had failed to achieve? Could they forge an alliance between two countries that have long maintained a rather distant and often distrustful relationship?

Peter Hakim

Política externa nos 100 primeiros dias de Bolsonaro provoca danos à imagem do Brasil

A RFI ouviu dois especialistas para analisar o desempenho do atual governo brasileiro: Peter Hakim, presidente emérito do Inter-Americain Dialogue de Washington, e o embaixador Rubens Ricupero. Hakim vê muita “contradição” na política externa brasileira, devido à “agenda ideológica do governo”.

Peter Hakim

Interviews ˙ ˙ Radio France International