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FEATURED Q&A   

MAY 11, 2015

What's Driving Argentina's Presidential Race?


Argentines will go to the polls in October to select a new president and members of Congress. In early April, a poll by consulting firm Poliarquía had Daniel Scioli of the ruling Front for Victory party leading the race with 33.4 percent of the vote, while Mauricio Macri of the Republican Proposal (PRO) party had 27.3 percent and Sergio Massa of the Renewal Front trailed with 20.1 percent. What issues are driving the race? What is at stake in the race in terms of foreign investment in Argentina and the government's battle with so-called "holdout" bondholders? What influence is outgoing President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner having on the election?

Eduardo Amadeo, former member of Argentina's Congress and former Argentine ambassador to the United States: "The race is about continuity versus change. The Kirchner family has been in power for more than 11 years, with a populist style of government that combines an increase in consumption and low investment; state intervention; as well as low respect for the Constitution and basic institutions of democracy. The commodities boom has helped them to sustain the economy, but that support is over and there is a clear fatigue for the violations of democratic institutions. The question is whether this fatigue will be enough to defeat the political base that the Kirchners have built over these years. Foreign investment in Argentina is at a historically low level, and this critically affects the..." MORE


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SECTORAL PUBLICATIONS


The Advisor also publishes sector-specific titles in energy and financial services trends affecting the region.

 

 


Diego Arria
Director,
Columbus Group

Genaro Arriagada
Nonresident Senior Fellow,
Inter-American
Dialogue

Joyce Chang
Global Head of
Emerging Markets Research, JP Morgan Chase

W. Bowman Cutter
Former Partner,
E.M. Warburg Pincus

Dirk Donath
Senior Partner,
Catterton Aimara

Marlene Fernández
Corporate Vice
President for
Gov't Relations,
Arcos Dorados

Peter Hakim
President Emeritus,
Inter-American
Dialogue

Donna Hrinak
President,
Boeing Latin America

Jon Huenemann
Vice President,
US & Int'l Affairs,
Philip Morris

James R. Jones
Co-Chair,
Manatt Jones
Global Strategies

Craig A. Kelly
Director, Americas
Int'l Gov't Relations,
Exxon Mobil

John Maisto
Director,
US Education Finance Group

Nicolás Mariscal
Chairman,
Grupo Marhnos

Thomas F. McLarty III
President,
McLarty Associates

Carlos Paz-Soldan
Partner,
DTB Associates

Beatrice Rangel
Director,
AMLA Consulting

José Antonio Ríos
Chief Executive Officer, Vadium Technology, Inc.

Gustavo Roosen
Chairman of
the Board,
Envases Venezolanos

Andrés Rozental
President,
Rozental & Asociados 

Shelly Shetty
Head, Latin America Sovereign Ratings
Fitch, Inc.

Roberto Sifon-Arevalo
Managing Director,
Americas Sovereign & Public Finance Ratings, Standard & Poor's

 

 

Erik Brand
Publisher and Director,
Corporate Program
TEL: 952.892.0177952.892.0177
EMAIL: ebrand@thedialogue.org

Gene Kuleta
Editor
TEL: 202.463.2920202.463.2920
EMAIL: gkuleta@thedialogue.org

Megan Cook
Reporter and Assistant Editor
TEL: 202.463.2562202.463.2562
EMAIL: mcook@thedialogue.org