The State of the Region: Findings of the AmericasBarometer 2012 Survey
By Laura Zaccagnino
December 10, 2012
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A copy of the 2012 AmericasBarometer survey may be accessed here.
Spearheaded by Vanderbilt University, AmericasBarometer is the
only truly regional public opinion survey in the Americas, covering 26
countries and sampling 178,000 people. What makes the project unique is that interviews
are conducted face-to-face by universities in each home country to ensure an
on-the-ground perspective. The newly published 2012 survey covers many of the
most pressing and volatile issues in the region, such as democracy, governance,
inequality, and citizen security.
On December 10, the Dialogue in conjunction with USAID co-hosted
a public discussion with Mitchell Seligson and Elizabeth Zechmeister, directors
of AmericasBarometer, about their findings and the implications for Latin
America.
Overall, the results show the region is moving in the right
direction. Most encouraging was the data on economic growth and income
inequality. Latin America weathered the fiscal crisis quite well, even growing
in spite of it; there has been a steady upward trend from 2004 to 2012 in how
Latin Americans view their national economies. And though the region remains
the most unequal in the world, the results show a steady decline in household
wealth inequality and an increase in life satisfaction. Mark Feierstein,
assistant administrator for Latin America and the Caribbean at USAID, noted
that Latin America is the only region in the world where the Gini coefficient
is decreasing. He remained optimistic that in many countries foreign aid may no
longer be necessary, citing rising star Panama, as more governments develop the
capacity to fuel their own development.
Still,
according to Zechmesiter, corruption remains a “vexing problem” for the
Americas as the level of corruption victimization reported in 2012 bounced back
up to 2008 levels. Ironically, she noted, there is a perverse relationship
between corruption and economic growth; in countries where the economy is doing
well, people are more likely to tolerate corruption. However, Seligson
cautioned against generalizing any of the findings. For instance, although overall
results show decreasing inequality and crime victimization for 2012, both
issues vary greatly across countries and sectors of society. Family background
is still the best predictor of education and the traditionally marginalized are
the most fearful about crime in their neighborhoods. And while feelings of
insecurity have dropped in several countries, crime still remains a large
concern in Mexico and Venezuela.
Support
for democracy has increased over time, yet there are some troubling trends
within the region. Several countries, including Honduras, Peru, Bolivia, El
Salvador, and Ecuador, reported low levels of political tolerance- a potential
red flag for democratic stability. Trust in political institutions also remains
low, though not as low as in the past. The justice system, parliament, and
political parties all received below 50% approval ratings, and only 36 percent
of the region trusts political parties.
Sonia Picado, president of the Inter-American Institute of Human Rights
in San Jose, Costa Rica, suggested that many of the region’s institutions are
in the midst of “crisis.” She cited the example of her home country in which
discontent is high, as citizens feel the political system is too disconnected
and unresponsive to their demands. It is therefore extremely important for
governments across the region to increase the capacity of institutions
responsible for economic policy, crime-fighting, and basic public service
delivery.