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FROM THE AUGUST 15, 2014 ISSUE

How will Campos’ death affect Brazil’s election?


Brazilian presidential candidate Eduardo Campos was killed when his private jet crashed Wednesday as it prepared to land in the city of Santos. Campos’ death sent shockwaves through the country’s political world and rattled financial markets just two months ahead of Brazil’s October presidential election. What effects will Campos’ sudden death have on the race, including any potential runoff?

Peter Hakim, member of the Advisor board and president emeritus of the Inter-American Dialogue: "On the presumption that Marina Silva replaces Eduardo Campos as the PSB nominee for president, the prospects for a runoff, which were about 50-50, will increase by some margin--simply because Marina is likely to receive more votes than Campos would have, probably more than doubling his vote count. Even if most of the PSB's new votes come from the PSDB's Aécio Neves, Dilma's vote total will also decrease, making it harder for her to reach 50 percent (even as the gap between Dilma and Aécio grows larger). Surveys suggest that Dilma will ..." MORE


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Diego Arria
Director,
Columbus Group

Genaro Arriagada
Nonresident Senior Fellow,
Inter-American
Dialogue

Joyce Chang
Global Head of
Emerging Markets Research, JP Morgan
& Chase Co.

W. Bowman Cutter
Former Partner,
E.M. Warburg Pincus

Dirk Donath
Senior Partner,
Aimara Capital

Jane Eddy
Managing Director,
Corporate & Government
Ratings Group,
Standard & Poor's

Marlene Fernández
Corporate Vice
President for
Gov't Relations,
Arcos Dorados

Peter Hakim
President Emeritus,
Inter-American
Dialogue

Donna Hrinak
President,
Boeing Brazil

Jon Huenemann
Vice President,
US & Int'l Affairs,
Philip Morris

James R. Jones
Co-Chair,
Manatt Jones
Global Strategies

Craig A. Kelly
Director, Americas
Int'l Gov't Relations,
Exxon Mobil

John Maisto
Director,
US Education Finance Group

Nicolás Mariscal
Chairman,
Grupo Marhnos

Thomas F. McLarty III
President,
McLarty Associates

Carlos Paz-Soldan
Partner,
DTB Associates

Beatrice Rangel
Director,
AMLA Consulting

José Antonio Ríos
Chief Executive Officer, Vadium Technology, Inc.

Gustavo Roosen
Chairman of
the Board,
Envases Venezolanos

Andrés Rozental
President,
Rozental & Asociados and Senior Fellow,
Brookings Institution

Everett Santos
President
DALEC LLC

Shelly Shetty
Head, Latin America Sovereign Ratings
Fitch, Inc.

 

 

Erik Brand
Publisher and Director,
Corporate Program
TEL: 952.892.0177952.892.0177
EMAIL: ebrand@thedialogue.org

Gene Kuleta
Editor
TEL: 202.463.2920202.463.2920
EMAIL: gkuleta@thedialogue.org

Megan Cook
Reporter and Assistant Editor
TEL: 202.463.2562202.463.2562
EMAIL: mcook@thedialogue.org