FROM THE AUGUST 15, 2014 ISSUE
How will Campos’ death affect Brazil’s election?
Brazilian presidential candidate Eduardo Campos was killed when his private jet crashed Wednesday as it prepared to land in the city of Santos. Campos’ death sent shockwaves through the country’s political world and rattled financial markets just two months ahead of Brazil’s October presidential election. What effects will Campos’ sudden death have on the race, including any potential runoff?
Peter Hakim, member of the Advisor board and president emeritus of the Inter-American Dialogue: "On the presumption that Marina Silva replaces Eduardo Campos as the PSB nominee for president, the prospects for a runoff, which were about 50-50, will increase by some margin--simply because Marina is likely to receive more votes than Campos would have, probably more than doubling his vote count. Even if most of the PSB's new votes come from the PSDB's Aécio Neves, Dilma's vote total will also decrease, making it harder for her to reach 50 percent (even as the gap between Dilma and Aécio grows larger). Surveys suggest that Dilma will ..." MORE
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